cc66
Postdoc
Posts: 2204
Reg: 10-09-09
|
10-19-22 11:18 AM - Post#345321
Columbia is once again listed at #316, at the bottom of the IL. On a game by game basis, we are projected to lose to every IL opponent, though cumulative probabilities bring our predicted record up to 4-10, and 11-18 overall.
Frankly, I thought the projections would spill over into the low 200s. But I am still hoping for a couple of late season upsets as our much touted recruits get accustomed to college ball.
|
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts: 6418
Reg: 11-22-04
|
10-19-22 01:48 PM - Post#345323
In response to cc66
I’m no expert on how these things are calculated, but I would guess that numbers based projections wouldn’t favor Columbia. Returning minutes is a positive if your overall numbers are above replacement level. Columbia has the problem that they return most of their minutes from a lowly ranked team, so projections likely have set expected improvements for returning players that still may not move above replacement level. So Columbia may not be getting as much credit for the incoming class as perhaps they should, since there aren’t that many minutes for them to replace.
|
cc66
Postdoc
Posts: 2204
Reg: 10-09-09
|
10-19-22 05:13 PM - Post#345329
In response to SomeGuy
That makes sense. We don't really know how good the new recruits are, or how quickly they will grow into their roles, but perhaps we can reasonably hope for a few upsets in February and March.
|
Columbia 37P6
Postdoc
Posts: 2184
Reg: 02-14-06
|
10-20-22 12:11 PM - Post#345343
In response to cc66
Of course we will know much more after the first couple of games including the opener against Rutgers. However, if the Fab Four live up to their billings I would expect the Lions to go at least 8-6 against their pre-conference opponents and 7-7 in the Ivy League. As for the Columbia Women, the media poll prediction is that the Lions will finish second in the Ivy League.
|
