Username | Post: Robert Coase | |
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Old Bear Postdoc Posts 4000 |
01-27-19 09:23 PM - Post#273838
I have now watched all 8 teams play 2 Ivy games and my opinion is that this could be the tightest competition, from top to bottom, in all of my years of watching Ivy BB. This is, of course, my eye-ball analysis, not an analytical conclusion. I continue to follow the advice of Robert Coase, a British Economist, who posited that "If you torture the data enough, it will confess to anything." |
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Silver Maple Postdoc Posts 3779 |
01-27-19 11:51 PM - Post#273854
Was Robert Coase related to Ronald Coase, the Nobel Prize winning economist from the University of Chicago? |
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AntiUngvar Masters Student Posts 530 |
01-28-19 12:30 AM - Post#273855
Bear, It is Ronald. |
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Old Bear Postdoc Posts 4000 |
01-28-19 09:33 AM - Post#273865
My bad. |
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Silver Maple Postdoc Posts 3779 |
01-28-19 10:06 AM - Post#273868
Don't feel bad. As economists go, he's kind of obscure. He's known for some theorem regarding externalities, which I don't profess to understand at all. It's not like we're talking about Herbert Simon. |
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sparman PhD Student Posts 1348 |
01-28-19 12:21 PM - Post#273882
Coase is often invoked by extreme free-market advocates in the legal arena. For example, those like Henry Manne who argued there should not be SEC prohibitions against insider trading because anyone watching market trades is gong to get all the information they need about a company, and on a more timely basis. |
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SRP Postdoc Posts 4914 |
01-28-19 03:52 PM - Post#273892
Coase is one of the less-obscure economists if you go by citations, including in other fields such as law and political science. His work was foundational in understanding how transactions costs shape institutional choices and their results, such as firm vs. market provision of inputs or "fencing-in" vs. "fencing-out" obligations in common law. |
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Mike Porter Postdoc Posts 3619 |
01-28-19 06:33 PM - Post#273939
I’m more a Michael Porter kind of guy. Even though a Harvard economist, how can you not like a guy which such a great name?! |
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Old Bear Postdoc Posts 4000 |
01-28-19 08:23 PM - Post#273950
Ronnie Coarse has all 8 Ivies going 1 and 1 this weekend. |
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cc66 Postdoc Posts 2204 |
01-29-19 12:13 AM - Post#273973
But that prediction fails to give full weight to the negative externality of psychological trauma among fans of the four Ivy teams who expected to go 2-0. |
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mrjames Professor Posts 6062 |
01-29-19 10:15 AM - Post#273990
That perception is reality. By pretty much any measure that I know of, this is the toughest Ivy of the AI era. And if you consider that of the Top 10 players in terms of win shares, just one is a senior, and that of the 14 Ivy players with a 24+% usage rate, only two are seniors - the league's probably going to improve on this year in 2019-20. |
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HARVARDDADGRAD Postdoc Posts 2696 |
01-29-19 10:51 AM - Post#273991
3 Bid Ivy in 2020! You heard it here first! |
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AntiUngvar Masters Student Posts 530 |
01-29-19 10:54 AM - Post#273993
THREE in the Big Dance? |
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HARVARDDADGRAD Postdoc Posts 2696 |
01-29-19 11:21 AM - Post#274006
Actually, if you look at key graduates, some teams will be materially impacted so I withdraw my irrational exuberance. Here are key graduates listed in my hypothetical ranking of impact: Impacted: Cornell: Morgan, Julian, Whiteside, Davis Princeton: Cannady, Stephens Penn: Woods, Silpe, Rothschild Yale: Copeland, Phills, Reynolds Nominally Impacted: Columbia: Adlesh, Davis Brown: Okolie, Sullivan, Fuller Dartmouth: Smith No Impact: Harvard: Corey Johnson Harvard and Cornell aside, this bodes well for parity in 2019-20. |
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mrjames Professor Posts 6062 |
01-29-19 12:21 PM - Post#274016
Cornell's going to have real problems. Princeton will be in trouble as well, though at least the Tigers have recruited really well recently and theoretically have talent that could steady the ship. The biggest losses tend to be good, high usage offensive players, because they're the hardest type of talent to find. Among Penn and Yale's losses, there are none of that type of player, certainly not for Penn (Woods is the highest at 18.9% of poss). That's not to say they won't need to replace some talent, just that they don't need to find a unicorn to do so. At the end of the day, the talent that has missed a significant amount/all of this season and will return next year might be better as a starting five (if undersized) than the best five out of the departing talent: (Aiken, Mike Smith, Betley, Towns, Llewellyn). |
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HARVARDDADGRAD Postdoc Posts 2696 |
01-29-19 12:43 PM - Post#274019
I guess the initial thought is which teams will make the 2020 tournament. Yale and Penn are losing a lot, but likely both have depth to compete. Penn with Brodeur, Wang and Lorca Lloyd and Yale with Atkinson, Bruner and Oni each retain talented bigs and so should remain favorites. Brown and Harvard are losing little so they'll be in the mix. Of others, Princeton should stay competitive as you mention and if Smith returns Columbia should improve. Let's see if Dartmouth continues its competitive play this season as its run thus far is based on underclassmen. If so, then other than Cornell we could have a nice 7 team race for the tournament, wherever it may be held. |
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palestra38 Professor Posts 32848 |
01-29-19 12:47 PM - Post#274020
Penn is not losing a lot---a great defensive player in Woods---they will be able to replace him. Rothschild is not healthy anyway and is not as good as Wang. And Betley comes back. I would be shocked if Penn is not significantly better next year. |
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HARVARDDADGRAD Postdoc Posts 2696 |
01-29-19 12:51 PM - Post#274021
Good points. Thought on Penn is more defense and rebounding. Also looks like Silpe is in your mix now. With Betley and others who appear to be injured Penn should be fine. Lorca Lloyd appears to be more of a rebounder and defender initially so that will help Brodeur immensely. |
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HARVARDDADGRAD Postdoc Posts 2696 |
01-29-19 12:54 PM - Post#274022
By the way, I know it appears that Max has been injured a lot, but he's played in 15 of 18 games and averaged over 17 minutes per game. |
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palestra38 Professor Posts 32848 |
01-29-19 01:08 PM - Post#274025
I don't want to minimize the contributions of Woods (a player I love), Rothschild and Silpe. It's just like Wood and Foreman last year---very good pieces, but they can be replaced and I believe they will be. Princeton, on the other hand, is losing its two best players after losing one of them last year. Relying on freshmen is usually not a winning strategy in this league, but we will see. |
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Quakers03 Professor Posts 12533 |
01-29-19 11:10 PM - Post#274101
By the way, I know it appears that Max has been injured a lot, but he's played in 15 of 18 games and averaged over 17 minutes per game. 17 healthy minutes per game are VERY different than what he's currently able to give. It's really a shame. |
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HARVARDDADGRAD Postdoc Posts 2696 |
01-29-19 11:21 PM - Post#274103
Hopefully these last weeks of rest will have him ready for conference play. |
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Quakers03 Professor Posts 12533 |
01-29-19 11:37 PM - Post#274110
Based on what we have seen recently, that most likely will not be the case. Assuming injections haven't worked, I don't know how it's going to improve without being completely shut down. |
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AntiUngvar Masters Student Posts 530 |
01-30-19 12:59 PM - Post#274147
Actually, if you look at key graduates, some teams will be materially impacted so I withdraw my irrational exuberance. HDG: You can still make that deposit at your soonest convenience. |
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HARVARDDADGRAD Postdoc Posts 2696 |
01-30-19 02:04 PM - Post#274168
Now I understand. I was referring to a three bid ivy, not my exuberance (irrational or otherwise) for my Crimson. |
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AntiUngvar Masters Student Posts 530 |
01-30-19 02:09 PM - Post#274170
Yes, and you can even make a withdrawal and subsequent deposit on line, if that's easier for you, HDG. |
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