mrjames
Professor
Posts: 6062
Loc: Montclair, NJ
Reg: 11-21-04
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02-20-12 03:32 PM - Post#121548
In response to Brian Martin
I understand what you're saying, but if it was all noise then we wouldn't see anything.
The fact that I see correlations some places and no correlations others leads me to believe that if there was an effect, we'd still be able to discern it. At least slightly.
In other words, if everything showed up with an R^2 only trivially different from zero, then I'd agree that it's all noise. But that some factors are showing up with a correlation and others aren't leads me to believe that it's less of a sample size issue and more of an issue of there not actually being a correlation.
Often, I wonder if the resistance to the possibility of such findings is that people refuse to admit how much of the game is truly luck (and by extension, how much of life is really luck).
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