mountainred
Masters Student
Posts: 514
Age: 57
Loc: Charleston, WV
Reg: 04-11-10
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11-25-12 11:39 PM - Post#135876
In response to mrjames
Thanks for the response. I probably thought Ivybball was Ivybballfan. I did mix concepts (offensive efficiency and overall success). Thank you for the clarification and sorry about that.
Right before I signed on to check your response, I think I found the KenPom feature that shows the correlation between pace and efficiency. As I read it, there was a +11 correlation between pace and offense and a -62 correlation between pace and defense. Doesn't that mean Cornell improved on both sides of the game the faster the pace, though the offensive improvement was not statistically significant? If I'm reading that wrong, please let me know.
The evidence so far this year does support your position, but after only seven games can be easily swayed by an outlier. And the Presby game was certainly an extreme data point, if not an outlier. 142 offensive efficiency? The 2010 team pulled that off twice and they were a little better team offensively. The Red's second best offensive game was Longwood (109.7 OE on 77 possessions). I'm not sure what either number says other than Cornell can't score except against lousy teams. Which is what I worry is the case.
At the end of the season, I bet the numbers look about the same as last year. This team will struggle to score no matter the pace, but will be better defensively when they push the tempo. That said and regardless of the numbers, this team is going to run because that is what Coach Courtney wants to do.
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