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Username Post: Recruits' Post Season
SomeGuy 
Professor
Posts: 6391

Reg: 11-22-04
03-30-17 09:02 PM - Post#228371    
    In response to cc66

One caveat on the "intriguing test" of ratings "predictive powers": these 3 will just be additional data points, so we shouldn't read too much into what happens with an individual recruit. The rankings give us a sense of the odds that a given recruit develops into a star. They do best over a larger number of recruits. What happens in an individual case doesn't do much of anything to prove or disprove their predictive value. If you flip a coin and get heads twice in a row, that doesn't mean your odds are something other than 50/50.

The other thing to remember is that Columbia only had one guy who was above 2 stars last year (Davis). That means you can pretty much guarantee that multiple 2 star guys will be double digit scorers for Columbia. Cornell and Brown had nobody above 2 stars. So those teams are going to have 2 star players who will be statistically similar to whoever is leading Harvard in scoring. Doesn't mean they are equal players.
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