mrjames
Professor
Posts: 6062
Loc: Montclair, NJ
Reg: 11-21-04
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10-16-17 10:39 AM - Post#234037
In response to bradley
Alrighty... I'll dive in here. Haven't done the work I'd normally do (probably won't be able to this year, sadly), but generally this is where my head is at:
Princeton
Yale
Harvard
Penn
Columbia
Dartmouth
Cornell
Brown
The top three to me seem to be pretty even, so I'll be the one that goes against the grain.
Penn's sorta in no man's land right now, probably closer to Columbia/Dartmouth/Cornel l than HYP, but significantly enough in between that I can see why they're gonna be a near-unanimous pick for 4th.
I really think Columbia's strong freshman class is going to help it EASILY outperform the #283 ranking on Bart Torvik's site, but that's a lot of ground to make up on Penn. The freshman class projects for about 24 WS over four years in my model, and last year's seniors only combined for 5, so there's a fair deal of evidence that the production might not drop.
I'm not a believer in Cornell just yet (and especially to the crazy Top 200 level that others are). Probably unfair to have them below Dartmouth, but Columbia/Cornell/Dartmout h are about as hard to pick between as HYP.
Brown - it's all about the defense. We'll see. They'll score points, for sure.
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