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Username Post: 2016-17: Offensive Rating By Type of Possession
mrjames 
Professor
Posts: 6062

Loc: Montclair, NJ
Reg: 11-21-04
11-03-17 03:33 PM - Post#235433    

Bringing this over here from the Penn thread... I went back through last year's PBP data and pulled together the offensive and defensive ratings for each team based on the type of shots they took (or allowed) on each possession. (Note that these are raw efficiency ratings, not adjusted for opponent caliber).

What stands out to me is how close Harvard, Princeton and Yale were last year on non-TO possessions both on the offensive and defensive side. Remains to be see how much of Princeton's astonishing +5pp turnover rate differential it can carry forward into the 2017-18 campaign. And if Harvard and Yale can flip theirs to positive, that could REALLY propel those two forward.

Offensive Rating on possession with 3PT shot:
HAR 133
PRIN 133
YALE 133
COL 130
DART 130
BRN 128
PENN 125
COR 120

Offensive Rating on possession with 2PT J:
PENN 106
YALE 103
COR 98
DART 98
HAR 93
COL 89
PRIN 89
BRN 82

Offensive Rating on possession with layup:
HAR 148
YALE 140
COL 137
COR 137
PENN 135
PRIN 134
DART 133
BRN 132

Offensive Rating on possession with 2 FTs:
PRIN 162
BRN 158
HAR 158
YALE 156
COL 152
DART 150
COR 146
PENN 146

Defensive (Oppt Offensive) Rating on possession with 3PT shot:
HAR 116
PRIN 125
YALE 125
DART 128
COR 131
PENN 131
COL 138
BRN 139

Defensive (Oppt Offensive) Rating on possession with 2PT J:
HAR 94
YALE 96
PENN 97
COL 99
COR 99
PRIN 101
DART 102
BRN 105

Defensive (Oppt Offensive) Rating on possession with layup:
PRIN 119
HAR 134
PENN 135
COL 136
YALE 136
COR 144
DART 144
BRN 153

Defensive (Oppt Offensive) Rating on possession with 2 FTs:
COL 145
HAR 145
PRIN 147
DART 149
BRN 153
YALE 153
PENN 155
COR 156
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