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Username Post: Dartmouth
HARVARDDADGRAD 
Postdoc
Posts: 2685

Loc: New Jersey
Reg: 01-21-14
01-08-18 12:12 PM - Post#242687    
    In response to mrjames

3Pt Shooting observation (w/o MIT)

4 home games: 35-85 = 41.2%

10 non-home games: 66-247 =26.7%

SOS isn't the difference as Harvard played Vermont and UMass at home, and possibly their best road shooting game was at Kentucky (12-28 = 42.9%)

To dig deeper, in Harvard's last 3 home games (no UMASS - seasoning opening weekend), they've shot 18-33 in the first halves - 54.5%!

Observations:
1. Home rims;
2. Upward trend;
3. Bryce missed last 3 home games (he's shooting 24.6%); and/or
4. Players shoot 3's better when not tired

Conclusions:
- Coach Amaker knew he had decent shooters entering the season based on last year's stats and scouting of freshmen (Djuricic, Farley and maybe Haskett);
- Without true PG and limited interior scoring threats other than Lewis and Towns, this team is coached to play defense, run clock, and employ an inside-out offense leading to 3's;
- Vulnerable to unfamiliar rims on road; and
- 3pt shooting % goes down with fatigue.

Bryce is a victim of the lack of another PG. He was averaging 34 minutes, handling the ball, driving, chasing the opponent's PG and taking the leftover 3's when the shot clock runs out. He's actually a very strong shooter - evidenced by last season (34.9% (2016-17) vs 24.6% (2017-18)).

I think this is why Harvard needs not only Aiken, but also McCarthy to be healthy. Both are not only good shooters, but they'll help boost the performance of the designated 3 point shooters (Johnson, Towns, Bassey and hopefully Djuricic/Farley). Juzang has been a pleasant surprise, but as a misplaced SG who played 35 minutes against Dartmouth, I expect his shooting to drop off, particularly in Saturday games.

To underscore the importance of 3pt shooting to the current Harvard team, Harvard was leading Vermont until it shot 1-9 on 3's in the second half, and Harvard was up 37-23 on Dartmouth before hitting a cold stretch, shooting 1-9 on 3's. Harvard then made its last 4 3's of the game in the final 6 minutes to win by 10.

Edited by HARVARDDADGRAD on 01-08-18 12:20 PM. Reason for edit: No reason given.
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