PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts: 3580
Reg: 02-15-15
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02-03-18 06:44 PM - Post#245862
In response to Bruno
18-4 over the last 10 minutes. Not including the last 6. Against a team that gets to the line more than most in the nation. That’s not just more - that’s 4.5x more when it mattered the most.
We call it a Home Job. I’m not sure why you’re so upset. You got the win.
I like that you are still talking about this though, with the data so clearly overwhelming.
To take a closer look at your "overwhelming data":
1st half: Fouls were Brown 11, Penn 5 yet Brown shot 9 FT to Penn's 7. Not much of an advantage there.
2nd half: Fouls were Brown 12, Penn 12. Brown shot 11 FT and Penn shot 15
OT: Fouls were Brown 7, Penn 1. Brown shot 2 FT, Penn shot 14.
So there is nothing really abnormal in the data from regulation. A closer look at OT is required.
I went a looked at every possession from the last 5 minutes of regulation through OT to see about these "non calls" and foul discrepancy. at the 3 minute mark Brown was leading by 6 so I am not sure there is much to complain about prior to that (there were a few calls/no calls that evened out but I don't think anyone would say those 2 min were advantageous to either side)
The possessions in the final 5 minutes were 8 for Brown and 8 for Penn. Brown shot 3 jumpers, had 3 drives to the basket, turned it over 1x and had 1 jump ball on a missed alley oop play. Of those 3 drives they made one layup, had one blocked by AJ that resulted in a foul (bad call) and Cho had his shot blocked by AJ with no foul (looked like a good call-though Martin argued aggressively).
Penn had 2 missed 3pters 5 drives and one turnover. The 5 drives resulted in 4 trips to the FT line. Of those 4 foul calls I thought 2 were good calls (the Brown players did not object) and 2 were questionable. The officials also missed a travel against Darnell that preceded one of those fouls.
In OT:
Brown had 10 possessions and shot 6 jumpers and went 2-5 with 1 foul called. They had 4 drives and missed 3 contested layups with no contact and made the other. The only bad call against Penn appears to be the foul on Darnell with :15 seconds left on Cambridge (he missed both).
Penn had 9 possessions in OT, all of them were drives to the basket, zero jumpers. They made 3 of those, had 1 blocked and got 4 foul calls for 8 FT's. I thought 2 of those 4 fouls on drives were questionable against Brown and 1 was just a bad call.
In summary, in OT and in regulation, the fact is Brown settled for 9 jumpers in their last 18 possessions and Penn drove the ball to the basket on 14 of their last 16 possessions. There were 8 bad/questionable/missed calls during that stretch and 5 of them went against Brown and 3 against Penn.
Anyone else who wants to watch the game from the 5 minute point on in slow motion and come back and argue this analysis, I am all for it.
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