mrjames
Professor
Posts: 6062
Loc: Montclair, NJ
Reg: 11-21-04
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02-12-18 06:37 PM - Post#247581
In response to whitakk
Great read.
Also important to look at can be Game Scripts. Essentially, a Game Script is the average lead that a team holds throughout the game (think of it as the "area under the curve"). Game Scripts correlate very well with which team wins the overall game (it's harder to win games you don't lead for extended periods of time, and incrementally harder to win games where you dig yourself a massive hole).
Here are the total Game Script scores through 8 Ivy games:
Harvard: 42
Penn: 24
Princeton: 20
Yale: 10
Columbia: -5
Brown: -21
Dartmouth: -32
Cornell: -38
Through 32 Ivy games, Ivy teams that win the game script battle are 24-8. The two biggest game script upsets were Harvard-Columbia (Columbia won despite a -2.8 game script) and Harvard-Cornell (Harvard won despite a -2.2 game script). No other teams have won with a game script of -2.0 or less.
Tightest game thus far has been Columbia-Brown: Brown had a +0.2 game script.
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