JDP
Masters Student
Posts: 581
Reg: 11-23-04
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12-17-22 05:37 PM - Post#348229
Only a few out of conference games left before the Ivies – the early relative strength of the teams has played out pretty much as expected. Princeton with five seniors is playing very well but they and the Ivies are missing Abby Meyers. Columbia with seven seniors has picked up from their NIT run and played winning basketball.
Tier I: - Likely Finish 1-3
Columbia (10-2 – 25 NET – Projected RPI 31)
Princeton (7-3 – 45 NET – Projected RPI 27)
Can Columbia knock off Princeton and end the Tigers-45 game winning streak that goes back three seasons? Columbia has played very well against tough out of conference competition, but after three loses to Princeton last season and having to replace seven players next season, this season is all about knocking off the Tigers and going dancing.
2 Key Dates:
Fri 6 Jan: Columbia @ Princeton
Sat 4 Feb: Princeton @ Columbia
If both teams have 12+ Ivy wins, the second-place team will likely have a legitimate shot to make the NCAAs
Tier II: Likely finish 2-5
Harvard (8-5 – 128 NET – Projected RPI 72)
Penn (7-6 – 112 NET – Projected RPI 107)
Yale (7-7 – 169 NET – Projected RPI 124)
Tiebreakers will matter – head-to-head, who has beaten a higher seed, NET ranking
Last year, none of these three teams beat Columbia or Princeton and only one combined lost to Brown, Cornell or Dartmouth. Likely one, perhaps two NIT bids here, and perhaps bids to an other tournament
Key for these teams will be how the evolve over the exam break. A lot of coaching will happen before the first Ivy game. Having one or two more players being able to step up or no one advancing could be the difference between second or fifth.
6 Key dates:
Sat 7 Jan: Yale @ Harvard
Sat 21 Jan: Yale @ Penn
Sat 28 Jan: Penn @ Harvard
Fri 3 Feb: Harvard @ Yale
Sat 11 Feb: Harvard @ Penn
Fri 17 Feb: Penn @ Yale
Tier 3: Likely Finish 6-8
Brown (8-4 – 245 NET – Projected RPI 163)
Cornell (6-5 – 218 NET – Projected RPI 184)
Dartmouth (3-10 – 336 NET – Projected RPI 258)
Last year, only Cornell beat any of the top five (Harvard). Likely could see similar strugles again this season, but off nights happen / some players go unconscious from the field. But clearly any win against a Tier II team will mean that Tier II team will have Ivy Tiebreaker concerns. Hard to see any of these three making the top four - Brown the most likey of the three to make some noise.
Edited by JDP on 12-17-22 05:45 PM. Reason for edit: No reason given.
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