mrjames
Professor
Posts: 6062
Loc: Montclair, NJ
Reg: 11-21-04
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12-21-10 02:10 PM - Post#91350
In response to cornellfan4
Ran the splits for pre- and post-Syracuse games.
Indeed, Peck has been much improved offensively:
Four Factor Rates
eFG%: Before - 24.4%; After - 54.3%
TORate: Before - 22.8%; After - 13.5%
OReb%: Before - 1.1%; After - 9.5%
FTRate: Before - 20.5%; After - 39.1%
Other Key Metrics
ORating: Before - 58; After - 112
ARate: Before - 13.2%; After - 24.9%
FLPoss: Before - 25.4%; After - 28.1%
Points Prod/Gm: Before - 4.3; After - 14.5
Floor Pct: Before - 27.3%; After - 53.8%
Granted, the two sample sizes are 6 games (before) and 4 games (after). Also, the "after" has been remarkable, but it's also really where he was expected to average not go on a hot streak to achieve.
Defensively, the metrics aren't impressive either before or after the Syracuse game. Maybe Peck will never be a good defensive rebounder. I don't know. But the defensive metrics aren't following his offense.
As for Wroblewski, Ferry, Gray - actually, really anyone other than Max Groebe - the offensive metrics were initially below-average and since the Syracuse game have either remained below-average or even declined.
If Wroblewski can't find a way to turn things around, this really cements the 2008 ROY argument in my head in favor of Rosen. The latter put up decent numbers in the absence of any real production around him. The former had tons of help his freshman year and could put up above-average numbers as a role player. Now that Wroblewski lacks a lot of offensive weapons surrounding him, we're seeing him struggle to a far greater extent than Rosen ever did.
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