mrjames
Professor
Posts: 6062
Loc: Montclair, NJ
Reg: 11-21-04
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02-24-17 03:54 PM - Post#223261
In response to PennFan10
Here are the "win out" odds for each team:
Brown (6 wins): 1.7%
Columbia (8 wins): 1.9%
Cornell (7 wins): 0.6%
Dartmouth (7 wins): 0.1%
Harvard (12 wins): 5.4%
Penn (8 wins): 15.7%
Princeton (14 wins): 40.8%
Yale (10 wins): 10.4%
So, every team is expected to lose at least once and only Princeton is remotely close to tipping over to going undefeated the rest of the way being more likely than not.
That being said, there is a ~1/3 chance that one of the seven non-Princeton teams will pull off a 4-0 final stretch. And when you throw in Princeton, there's a ~2/3 chance that some team will go 4-0 down the stretch (obviously most likely to be the Tigers).
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