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Username Post: Selection Sunday
Shot Clock 
Masters Student
Posts: 883

Loc: Arlington VA
Reg: 01-27-06
03-10-17 01:05 PM - Post#226082    
    In response to MrPhillie

  • Quote:

I think it is clear the Bison are better than all the 14's except possibly Akron. Also there are at least three undecided tournaments where an upset could help BU:

- MAC: If Akron loses, the next best is Ohio (110/101).
- AE: If Vermont loses, then it is Stony a rook (174/212).
- Ivy: If Princeton loses, the next best is Harvard (129/109).



Also monitor the Sun Belt and MWC.

Sun Belt: UT-Arlington is the 1-seed (RPI 36) and currently projects as a 12. If they get knocked off (and very unlikely they get an at-large), the next best teams are at 112/113 RPIs (Poms even worse), so they would fall below us.

MWC is in a really down year. Nevada is the 1-seed with a 34 RPI, also projecting as a 12. If they lose, you're dropping down to either 70-Colorado ST (84 Pom), 74-Fresno (100 Pom), or 91-San Diego State (77 Pom), so that could go either way.

Given those 5 shots, I really like our chances at a 13, and they may already be a 13. 12 is likely out of reach (would need 3 or 4 upsets in those 5 conferences), but hell, I remember being surprised that they got an 11 in 2013.
B.A. Bucknell University, 1993


Edited by Shot Clock on 03-10-17 01:11 PM. Reason for edit: No reason given.
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