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Username Post: Way too early 2017-18 Continuity Model Rankings
Bryan 
Junior
Posts: 231

Loc: Philadelphia
Reg: 11-21-04
03-21-17 10:45 PM - Post#227871    
    In response to mrjames

Please let me know if I'm interpreting your figures correctly. Princeton is currently listed as +12.61 in Pomeroy. Next year you project them as +8.37, a difference of 4.24 points per 100 possessions. Princeton played at an adjusted tempo of 63.0 possessions per game this year so this equates to a projection of them being 2.68 PPG worse next year than this year.

This seems like a smaller decrease than I would have expected for a team that lost 2 first-team all-Ivy performers (including POY) and a 3rd starter who was 6th on the team in minutes. Are you projecting one or two freshmen to come in and play well right away or for players who weren't regulars this year to largely offset the loss of Cook and Weisz?



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