rbg
Postdoc
Posts: 3050
Reg: 10-20-14
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01-19-18 06:30 PM - Post#244063
In response to Cooper
Kenpom has Harvard winning by 3.
It would seem that Dartmouth would have to do much better than the 5-19 from three that they had 2 weeks ago. They will hopefully shoot similar numbers than they did in their last 2 games (9-23 against BC and 11-20 against Vermont).
Miles Wright had 23 and was the only player in double digits at Harvard, so it would seem that they would be helped by having more offensive output from Barry (7 points), Johnson (7 points) and Knight (2 points). Of course, it is easier said than done when going up against Harvard's strong defense.
Dartmouth will need to have a better showing on defense. They are in the low 320s in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, give up a high percentage from three and a really high percentage from two.
Against Harvard, they gave up 48% from three (12-25!), but only 40% from two (10-25). Against Vermont and BC, they allowed 19-47 combined from three in the last two games (40%).
Looks like a lot of things have to go right for a Big Green win. However, they did have a 3 point lead with 6 minutes to go last time. If they can keep it close tomorrow night, we'll see if they learned anything in two weeks.
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