mrjames
Professor
Posts: 6062
Loc: Montclair, NJ
Reg: 11-21-04
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01-29-18 03:01 PM - Post#245086
In response to PennFan10
If you're attempting to be predictive, the best thing to look at are the in-league efficiency margins (adjusted for schedule played versus where the schedule SOS will finish).
As of right now (stated in points per possession):
1) Princeton: +0.22
2) Harvard: +0.08
3) Penn: +0.05
4) Columbia: +0.04
5) Yale: -0.01
6) Brown: -0.08
7) Dartmouth: -0.08
8) Cornell: -0.20
Generally, close games tend to be governed by a bit of randomness. So, it's hard to win the league playing more closer games than another team. Efficiency margins tend to be bouncy in the beginning, but by the midway point or so, they can be a nice indicator of which teams are likely to keep churning along and which ones might be primed for some Ls.
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