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Post: Weekly round up

mrjames
Professor
Posts: 6062

Loc: Montclair, NJ
Reg: 11-21-04

02-05-18 02:56 PM - Post#246236
In response to Columbia Alum

Conditional final odds for each rank based on this weekend's outcome:

Short answer (and probably not surprising) is that a sweep would put you in the driver's seat for the 4th spot, a split would marginally increase your chances and getting swept would be a real problem.

Columbia Sweeps (9.7% of sims):
1st = 1.8%
2nd = 9.2%
3rd = 20.8%
4th = 40.8%
5th = 19.7%
6th = 7.0%
7th = 0.6%

Columbia Splits (42.9% of sims):
1st = 0.5%
2nd = 2.6%
3rd = 10.1%
4th = 28.3%
5th = 30.9%
6th = 22.6%
7th = 4.5%
8th = 0.5%

Columbia Gets Swept (47.4% of sims):
2nd = 0.5%
3rd = 2.7%
4th = 11.5%
5th = 23.8%
6th = 42.3%
7th = 15.7%
8th = 3.3%

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