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Username Post: Dartmouth
rbg 
Postdoc
Posts: 3044

Reg: 10-20-14
02-08-18 05:56 PM - Post#246931    
    In response to LyleGold

While a sweep would be great, it may be difficult with the Harvard game at 4:00 pm on Saturday. Count me in with those that feel that Friday's game at Dartmouth is the more important one, in the big picture. Besides, Penn has not won in Hanover since 2/16/13 and it would be a big morale boost for the program to eliminate another losing streak.

In addition to being without Evan Boudreaux (leaving program) and Guillien Smith (injury), Dartmouth has started slowly and fallen behind by double digits in each league game. They have done a very good job in the second half of each game to get close, but they have not been able to close out any game. They have lost 4 games by 5 points or less and all 6 by 10 or less. With 5 of their 6 losses on the road, some of those results may have turned out differently if they were playing at home.

There is no exclusive player who is stepping up for Dartmouth in the 2nd half of these games. Wright (17 vs Columbia, 16 vs Harvard #1), Johnson (19 vs Cornell, 9 vs Yale), Emery (17 vs Brown), Barry (10 vs Harvard #2) and Knight (10 vs Harvard #2) have all led the team in second half scoring during league games.

Comparing their two halves, they are averaging 12.4 more points in the second half (25.8 to 38.2).
In terms of made baskets, that difference consists of + 1.8 for 2PT, + 0.8 for 3PT and +6.2 for FT.

Dartmouth's opponents are averaging 1.0 less points in the second half (34.7 to 33.7).
In terms of made baskets, that difference consists of -4.5 for 2PT, +0.5 for 3PT and +6.5 for FT.

Compairing Penn's two halves, they are averaging 2.2 more points in the second half (36.0 to 38.2).
In terms of made baskets, the difference consists of +1.0 for 2PT, -0.8 for 3PT, and +2.7 for FT.

Penn's oppoents are averaging 5.9 more points in the second half (30.3 to 36.2).
In terms of made baskets, that difference consists of +2.5 for 2PT, -0.5 for 3PT and +2.3 for FT.

Looking at these numbers, Penn does a good job on the offensive and defensive end in the first half, while Dartmouth starts out cold on both ends. In the second half, Penn's offense is still good, but its defense slips a bit. Meanwhile, Dartmouth heats up on offense and gets a little better on defense. If these numbers hold up tomorrow night and Dartmouth starts out cold again, then the Quakers hopefully have a big enough cushion to withstand a second half Dartmouth comeback. No matter whether they try and improve from two (like the Cornell game) or three (like the Columbia game), a major key will be keeping the Big Green off the FT line. Offensively, if Penn is not hot from three, they will need to be aggressive on the inside to get some easy two pointers or get to the FT line.

If Dartmouth manages to compete in the first half, things may be much more difficult.

Edited by rbg on 02-08-18 05:58 PM. Reason for edit: No reason given.
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