mrjames
Professor
Posts: 6062
Loc: Montclair, NJ
Reg: 11-21-04
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02-09-18 11:43 AM - Post#246975
In response to Cvonvorys
FWIW, based on current league play efficiency margins, Penn definitely deserves to be No. 1 based on its Ivy play thus far:
PENN +0.12 points per possession
PRIN +0.08
HARV +0.05
COLU +0.03
YALE +0.00
BRWN -0.03
DART -0.08
CORN -0.17
Then, if you adjust for what the teams have remaining on their schedule (to correct for an easier/harder schedule thus far), you still see a somewhat similar ranking:
PENN +0.09
HARV +0.05
PRIN +0.05
COLU +0.02
YALE +0.01
BRWN -0.02
DART -0.06
CORN -0.17
To the extent that luck equals (to me) the difference between actual wins and the derived win expectation, then of course Penn has been lucky to get to 6-0. But the Quakers haven't been lucky to be in first. They are the best team in league play efficiency margin nearing the halfway pole, so they should be in the spot they're in.
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