mrjames
Professor
Posts: 6062
Loc: Montclair, NJ
Reg: 11-21-04
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03-09-18 11:19 AM - Post#251522
In response to bradley
I don't think any Ivy has a shot at a 14, but the only path I could see would be Harvard getting there. Penn now has no Quad2 wins. Since the Ivy Tournament counts as home for Penn and Penn is projected to stay in the Top 135 with a loss in the final to Harvard, Harvard could still pick up a Quad2 win. That, combined with its much, much better SOS (which the committee likes to reward), competitiveness in all its other Quad2 games and a higher ceiling on RPI (could touch 100) should put it in (very slightly) better shape.
Now, even that, IMO, is not enough to be a serious contender for a 14.
Most likely scenario, given the Ivy Tourney odds, is for the league to get a 15 and for the rep to be Penn.
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