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Username Post: Wake the kids, phone the neighbors (UMBC!)
bradley 
PhD Student
Posts: 1842

Age: 74
Reg: 01-15-16
03-17-18 11:18 AM - Post#253600    
    In response to mrjames

The results over many years of the NCAA tournament clearly demonstrates that the odds of a #16 seed vs. a #13 seed are significantly different as to winning game #1. In the vast majority of cases, not all, the regular season winner of a conference will be a lower seed than a tournament champion -- simply the track record. There are obvious exceptions but actual results support this obvious conclusion. This year, Vermont would have been a higher seed than UMBC adn the odds of winning one game improves.

Anything can happen at the Big Dance which makes it great but at the end of the day, sending a lower seed team to represent a one bid league simply improves the odds.


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