mrjames
Professor
Posts: 6062
Loc: Montclair, NJ
Reg: 11-21-04
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03-19-18 10:53 AM - Post#253787
In response to PennFan10
Here are the win share predictions for those Harvard and Penn classes:
Harvard 2013 16.5 Win Shares
Penn 2013 18.6 Win Shares (Best that year was Brown at 21.5 Win Shares)
Harvard 2014 11.7 Win Shares
Penn 2014 16.5 Win Shares (Best that year was Princeton at 18.6 Win Shares)
Harvard 2015 19.5 Win Shares
Penn 2015 16.5 Win Shares (Best that year was Cornell at 24.3 Win Shares)
Harvard 2016 54.3 Win Shares
Penn 2016 18.6 Win Shares (Best that year was Harvard)
Harvard 2017 10.8 Win Shares
Penn 2017 14.7 Win Shares (Best that year was Columbia at 22.5 Win Shares)
Now, Harvard's 2013-2015 classes happened to also underperform those targets (to some extent because they got bowled over by the 2016 class), but expectations-wise over those years they were a step behind Penn to begin with.
Preliminarily, Harvard's 2018 class is in the 30 Win Share range, though this gets run off the final, so that could change.
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