mrjames
Professor
Posts: 6062
Loc: Montclair, NJ
Reg: 11-21-04
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04-23-19 07:48 AM - Post#283873
In response to SomeGuy
Let me try this one more time...
Harvard’s 2016 class has won the most Ivy games of any team over its three years despite all of the injuries and it’s clear of the field by four games. Given that, its NCAA Tournament expectation is somewhere in the neighborhood of one trip to the dance, and the singular factor impacting that expectation the most is twice playing road Ivy Tourney games.
Of course, if a team isn’t that talented, that’s going to have a larger impact on winning an Ivy Tourney than HCA (though ask Princeton *how* untalented the home team has to be to win a road game). But given that Harvard has won the most Ivy games over the past three years - by a comfortable margin - we’re within the realm where team quality is good enough that HCA is the biggest factor.
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