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Username Post: NIT?        (Topic#18821)
Dial Lodge 
Sophomore
Posts: 169

Reg: 03-08-07
03-07-16 12:51 PM - Post#203678    

I know there's been a lot of discussion about a second NCAA bid for the Ivy League, but I don't think that's likely.

This article said what we pretty much all know, but don't want to admit: the lack of wins over major teams will keep Princeton out, despite our excellent RPI:

http://thebiglead.com/2016/03/04/bracketolo gy-what...

***

That being said, what is Princeton's chance of making the NIT? This guy's bracketology for the NIT puts us solidly in:

http://www.nycbuckets.com/2016/02/nit-bracketol ogy...

 
palestra38 
Professor
Posts: 32680

Reg: 11-21-04
Re: NIT?
03-07-16 02:04 PM - Post#203686    
    In response to Dial Lodge

Unless you somehow lose to Penn, you're in the NIT. No chance for NCAA.

 
TigerFan 
PhD Student
Posts: 1871

Reg: 11-21-04
Re: NIT?
03-07-16 05:12 PM - Post#203695    
    In response to palestra38

New NIT projection today has Tigers up to a #3 seed. Have to take care of business tomorrow night first though.

http://www.nycbuckets.com/current-nit-bracketol ogy...

 
mrjames 
Professor
Posts: 6062

Loc: Montclair, NJ
Reg: 11-21-04
03-07-16 06:30 PM - Post#203703    
    In response to TigerFan

Just don't lose to Penn and you're in the NIT. Maybe a 5-seed though... Not sure what the guarantees are like to host under this new NCAA-like seeding system. Tigers would deserve a top 2 seed, but might fall to 5 due to hosting costs.

FWIW, the EBS would have Princeton right on the bubble, but Princeton is precisely the type of team (good RPI, bad KenPom) the EBS has missed historically.

 
bradley 
PhD Student
Posts: 1842

Age: 74
Reg: 01-15-16
03-07-16 06:45 PM - Post#203706    
    In response to mrjames

I agree that Princeton may well wind up with a #5 seed due to not willing to host/fund a game at Jadwin. It is always perplexing that some Ivy League schools do not step up to financially support the program when there is the opportunity to be the home team. When you consider the Ivy League school's endowment, it does not make a lot of sense. It would help if Princeton does not draw a team with a number of "bigs" in the opening game although they should be very competitive as other teams are just not use to Princeton offense.

Hard to believe that the betting line is 16 1/2 points -- never though that I would see that big of a spread between the Tigers and Quakers. Donahue obviously has a lot of work in front of him.

 
Kit 
Senior
Posts: 380

Loc: Central Massachusetts
Reg: 11-29-04
03-07-16 09:41 PM - Post#203718    
    In response to bradley

Back in 1999, they hosted against Georgetown, but that was before the NCAA ran the NIT, and added seeding. In two of the four years they were eligible for post-season play under Mitch Henderson, the Tigers stayed home.

 
SomeGuy 
Professor
Posts: 6391

Reg: 11-22-04
03-08-16 02:40 PM - Post#203774    
    In response to mrjames

Speaking of kenpom, isn't there still time for Princeton to get up to an historically high level for not getting a bid? Seems like a 143-17 win tonight would be great for the league's multiple bid profile.

I guess it could hurt Yale's seeding, though.



 
Tiger69 
Postdoc
Posts: 2801

Reg: 11-23-04
03-08-16 03:37 PM - Post#203777    
    In response to SomeGuy

NIT sucks. Only justification is one or more games to prepare for next year.

Does ANYONE other than fans of the winner remember who won it last year? Three years ago?

 
sparman 
PhD Student
Posts: 1339
sparman
Reg: 12-08-04
03-08-16 04:09 PM - Post#203779    
    In response to Tiger69

  • Tiger69 Said:
NIT sucks. Only justification is one or more games to prepare for next year. Does ANYONE other than fans of the winner remember who won it last year? Three years ago?



I never have trouble remembering who won in 1975.

 
mrjames 
Professor
Posts: 6062

Loc: Montclair, NJ
Reg: 11-21-04
03-08-16 06:35 PM - Post#203793    
    In response to SomeGuy

HA! KenPom has caps on MOV now (of course, you'll never hear about those caps from the KenPom bashers, but they exist). It would basically be impossible for Princeton to move up in KenPom regardless of what happens tonight. Maybe a few spots at most. There is far more downside risk in not winning by enough than upside potential in winning by a lot.

 
Tiger69 
Postdoc
Posts: 2801

Reg: 11-23-04
03-08-16 07:10 PM - Post#203798    
    In response to sparman

Good point. That was back in the days when you had to WIN your league championship to go to the Dance and the field was a lot smaller. Now the Power Six hold the keys, reward all their even marginally qualified members to share the wealth, and only grudgingly admit non members to fill the 68 spots.

 
sparman 
PhD Student
Posts: 1339
sparman
Reg: 12-08-04
NIT?
03-09-16 08:47 PM - Post#204005    
    In response to Tiger69

ESPN ran its most recent "who's in, who has more work" for the NCAA. All but one of the teams with the following credentials were listed as candidates for consideration, or labelled as "should" get in:

RPI SOS
A 35 188
B 38 165
C 40 145
D 48 275
E 53 178
F 57 199

Can you pick out the one who does not get mentioned?


 
mrjames 
Professor
Posts: 6062

Loc: Montclair, NJ
Reg: 11-21-04
03-09-16 09:05 PM - Post#204010    
    In response to sparman

But C only has ONE Top 50 win and it was in conference. And it plays in a WEAK conference (that somehow managed to earn it a Top 50 win).

 
sparman 
PhD Student
Posts: 1339
sparman
Reg: 12-08-04
NIT?
03-09-16 10:57 PM - Post#204038    
    In response to mrjames

  • mrjames Said:
But C only has ONE Top 50 win and it was in conference. And it plays in a WEAK conference (that somehow managed to earn it a Top 50 win).



But as someone said:

"02-21-16 12:04 PM - Post#202302
In response to Kit

The important point to note here is that, unlike most mid-majors with inflated RPIs, the power metrics are also with Princeton. If Princeton goes 13-2, it will likely sit in at-large territory at places like KenPom, to go with what would be a gaudy RPI around 30. The NCSOS and overall SOS, which often also serve as disqualifiers, would be fine (in the 100s).

To keep Princeton out at that point would essentially be putting ALL the eggs in the Top 50 wins basket. That's an awful lot of weight to put on one metric when all of the others are at-large worthy, especially when that metric is poorly formed (no home/road adjustment) and not entirely in the team's control (can only play who will schedule you).

I have a sneaking suspicion that, if we got there, Princeton would get in. Otherwise, the committee would be admitting that the only thing that matters is Top 50 games."




 
westcoast 
Senior
Posts: 302

Reg: 03-08-16
03-11-16 07:26 PM - Post#204230    
    In response to sparman

Columbia has accepted a CIT bid. I think that's a good sign that Princeton will get a spot in the NIT.

http://www.gocolumbialions.com/ViewArticle.dbml?DB...

 
bradley 
PhD Student
Posts: 1842

Age: 74
Reg: 01-15-16
03-11-16 09:37 PM - Post#204251    
    In response to Tiger69

It should be a good experience for this team to hopefully play at least 2 games in the tournament. They need to learn to win against bigger teams and toughen up for next year. Miller needs to face good bigs and get into the gym. If they have a good run---confidence builder.

 
Kit 
Senior
Posts: 380

Loc: Central Massachusetts
Reg: 11-29-04
03-11-16 09:52 PM - Post#204255    
    In response to bradley

With the number of 1 seeds losing in their tournaments, it is possible there might not be enough room to accommodate Princeton in the NIT. Other options are the CBI and Vegas 16.


 
gokinsmen 
Postdoc
Posts: 3634

Reg: 02-06-10
NIT?
03-11-16 10:58 PM - Post#204263    
    In response to Kit

It would be shameful if Princeton didn't get an NIT bid. Record and RPI aren't everything for the Big Dance, but 22-6 with an RPI of 39/40 should be more than enough for the Little Dance. As long as there are 3-4 non-autobids available, the Tigers should be yarn (i.e. NIT material).

 
TigerFan 
PhD Student
Posts: 1871

Reg: 11-21-04
Re: NIT?
03-11-16 11:56 PM - Post#204265    
    In response to gokinsmen

FWIW, Tigers seem to be holding steady in the minds of NIT bracketologists as a #4 seed

here: http://www.nycbuckets.com/current-nit-bracketol ogy...

and here: http://bracketmatrix.com/nit

 
bradley 
PhD Student
Posts: 1842

Age: 74
Reg: 01-15-16
Re: NIT?
03-12-16 01:16 PM - Post#204283    
    In response to TigerFan

Pretty amusing. FDU loses by 40 plus to Tigers. Beat Wagner in conference tournament final and is going to the big dance. Will not happen but think of irony if Wagner bounces Tigers from NIT due to good rule that conference champ automatically goes to NIT if they lose in their conference tournament. FDU will get hammered. Makes great sense.

 
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