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Username Post: predictions for this year        (Topic#19303)
palestra38 
Professor
Posts: 32685

Reg: 11-21-04
Re: predictions for this year
09-22-16 03:31 PM - Post#210740    
    In response to weinhauers_ghost

Who has the two of them(Rothschild and Dwyer) playing at the same time? I have one of them with 3 of Howard, Brodeur, Wood, MacDonald, Sam Jones and Hamilton and 1 of Silpe or Donahue.

That's not necessarily such a bad team.

 
SomeGuy 
Professor
Posts: 6391

Reg: 11-22-04
Re: predictions for this year
09-22-16 03:37 PM - Post#210741    
    In response to palestra38

Yes, it will be interesting to see how the offense changes without DNH, and with better shooters. Last year, he was a huge focal point in terms of how the ball moved, and it often seemed that it didn't move as well without him (or when teams got focused at knocking him off his spots). Donahue seemed bound and determined to bang the players into his offense, which suggests that he wants the 5 to do the things DNH did. That said, it could be that the approach was actually driven by DNH's skillset, and that he will do something different with Rothschild and Brodeur.

One thing to keep in mind -- that ORAT hopefully would go up if it really works the way you suggest. If he's only banging and finishing around the basket, his percentages ought to go up. Got to figure out the free throws, though, as they could scuttle his efficiency even if he's just getting dunks and layups.

 
SomeGuy 
Professor
Posts: 6391

Reg: 11-22-04
Re: predictions for this year
09-22-16 03:43 PM - Post#210742    
    In response to palestra38

I think PennFan10 has Rothschild and Dwyer playing together.

My guess continues to be similar to your guess. Only difference is that I think Donahue will be the one small guard in the 2-4 mix, rather than a PG. So I'd stick him in your group there (and take out Hamilton, unfortunately) and say that Silpe and Foreman are the PGs.

I do agree that Donahue at PG would help with our defensive size issue (just in the sense that it would leave one little guy in the lineup rather than 2 or 3), and help immensely with our shooting issue at that spot (where Silpe, Foreman, and Woods all need to get much better to play the way I think the Coach wants to). I'm just not sure that Donahue has the quickness, handle, and vision for it. He seems to me to be a 2 guard in a point guard body (something we've had a lot of over the last 10 years).

 
palestra38 
Professor
Posts: 32685

Reg: 11-21-04
Re: predictions for this year
09-22-16 04:13 PM - Post#210746    
    In response to SomeGuy

Maybe we have someone else who can play PG, but with exception of teams that themselves play 2 small guards, we cannot have Jackson and Silpe playing together for major minutes.

 
coins 
Sophomore
Posts: 195

Reg: 01-16-07
Re: predictions for this year
09-22-16 05:15 PM - Post#210751    
    In response to palestra38

P38:
Apart from Gaines, I've generally been in agreement with your posts. Here too. I have no idea how good we will be or the minutes guys will play. Nor do I know how coach's vision will play out. I am pretty sure his vision has Caleb with a ton of minutes or he wouldn't have bought him here as a junior. I think his vision has McD with a a lot of playing time. There is not much room for Jackson D and Silpe on the floor at the same time.
Personally, Dwyer does not impress me. I expect Howard at thge 4 a lot and Jones at 3/4. If ready Brodeur will be the 5 with prayers beyond.

 
DJ Jazzy Jeff 
Freshman
Posts: 58

Reg: 07-22-16
09-22-16 07:48 PM - Post#210763    
    In response to coins

Ok, I'll take a stab at it... Keep in mind I'm not going to use stats that nobody understands, rather I'll use the good old fashioned eye test (mine of course). My guess that AJ or Max (probably AJ) will start at the 5 and then there will be 4 guards with him. AJ, Matt Howard, Matt MacDonald, Jackson Donahue and Jake Silpe (until Antonio returns). Subs would be Max Rothschild, Sam Jones, Tyler Hamilton, Ray Jerome, Ryan Betley and Caleb Wood. The 1 inside player and 4 guards is what Steve likes to run and more teams are going to this type of offense (ala the GS Warriors). This creates huge mismatches, the opportunity to push the ball, and of course more opportunities to shoot the 3. I think Darnell and Jake's (and sometimes Tyler) lack of 3 point ability will hinder them in the offense however Tyler makes up more than the other 2 with his size, athleticism and defensive ability. Collin is probably the next big off the bench as well.

Penn more than likely battles Columbia for the 4th spot and with the new coach there, I'm not sure if that's a plus or minus for their program/players. I do however feel that Brown, Dartmouth and Cornell are still behind Penn.

 
PennFan10 
Postdoc
Posts: 3580

Reg: 02-15-15
09-22-16 07:50 PM - Post#210764    
    In response to coins

Great discussion. To be clear, I don't think Dwyer and Max play much together. I just think they will both be better versions of themselves with more defined and expanded roles so last year's efficiency stats could be misleading. Dwyer is a good defensive big who can block shots but he was really ineffective offensively last year.

SD will sometimes play w 2 bigs but usually only when the other team has size (George Mason, Yale, Dartmouth last year). I also agree MacDonald and Wood take up major minutes.

Besides Brodeur I think Goodman and Betley have the best chance to contribute as Freshmen. Goodman could be the defensive point guard we need and Betley is a lights out shooter who has more defensive ability than SAM Jones.

( sidebar: Penn Pal, apologies if I was condescending. I was mainly just messing with you. I appreciate your contributions and will use more discretion going forward)

 
Buckeye Quake 
PhD Student
Posts: 1601

Reg: 11-21-04
09-23-16 02:53 PM - Post#210791    
    In response to PennFan10


Hey you think it's easy being the board curmudgeon? Lol! Not a problem my friend. We all have the same passion here and we all want the same thing. The difference lies in how we express it. I gotta admit a little positivity on my part wouldn't hurt. Although all bets are off it we miss on Whyte and or Simmons.

 
PennFan10 
Postdoc
Posts: 3580

Reg: 02-15-15
10-28-16 12:45 PM - Post#212052    
    In response to Buckeye Quake

This pretty much confirms Matt MacDonald as a major contributor of minutes this year:


http://www.pennathletics.com/news/howard-macdonald ...

 
Silver Maple 
Postdoc
Posts: 3765

Loc: Westfield, New Jersey
Reg: 11-23-04
10-28-16 12:50 PM - Post#212053    
    In response to PennFan10

Not necessarily. Past Penn teams have had captains who spent their entire careers way down at the end of the bench.

 
palestra38 
Professor
Posts: 32685

Reg: 11-21-04
10-28-16 01:03 PM - Post#212055    
    In response to Silver Maple

But do you actually think a transfer would be named a captain if he weren't going to play? That honor belongs to 4 year bench guys with great attitudes.

 
PennFan10 
Postdoc
Posts: 3580

Reg: 02-15-15
10-28-16 04:57 PM - Post#212071    
    In response to palestra38

Agree with this

 
Silver Maple 
Postdoc
Posts: 3765

Loc: Westfield, New Jersey
Reg: 11-23-04
10-28-16 05:03 PM - Post#212072    
    In response to PennFan10

Yes, that would probably be unlikely. So let's hope Mcdonald starts, pays a lot of minutes, and is a total killer.


 
palestra38 
Professor
Posts: 32685

Reg: 11-21-04
10-28-16 05:04 PM - Post#212073    
    In response to Silver Maple

Our only chance to make the Ivy tournament this year is if the two transfers and the hot-shot freshman are all that. Otherwise, we look like what KenPom thinks we are---terrible.

 
Buckeye Quake 
PhD Student
Posts: 1601

Reg: 11-21-04
10-28-16 07:16 PM - Post#212075    
    In response to palestra38


And the coach shows that he can coach. Sorry, I'm just not a believer.

 
palestra38 
Professor
Posts: 32685

Reg: 11-21-04
10-28-16 08:14 PM - Post#212077    
    In response to Buckeye Quake

Guy won 3 straight Ivy titles and was an assistant on another team that won 3 straight. He can coach. He also had better results with less talent than the coach he replaced, having lost by far his best player. Can he recruit to the level necessary in 2016? Only time will tell.

 
Buckeye Quake 
PhD Student
Posts: 1601

Reg: 11-21-04
10-28-16 11:16 PM - Post#212082    
    In response to palestra38


I guess you'll be on his Christmas card list.

 
PennFan10 
Postdoc
Posts: 3580

Reg: 02-15-15
10-29-16 10:14 AM - Post#212086    
    In response to Buckeye Quake

When P38 is the positive one that means we have a new low on the optimism meter!



 
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