penn nation
Professor
Posts: 21086
Reg: 12-02-04
|
02-04-18 04:32 PM - Post#246087
In response to HARVARDDADGRAD
In sum, just about everyone is still in it.
And even for the cellar dwellers, 0-5 Dartmouth has played better than its record, and just remember that last year, Penn started out 0-6.
|
HARVARDDADGRAD
Postdoc
Posts: 2685
Loc: New Jersey
Reg: 01-21-14
|
02-04-18 04:53 PM - Post#246094
In response to penn nation
Absolutely, but IMHO Dartmouth just doesn't have the horses and Cornell really could have used a win against Harvard at home.
Appears Cornell has no depth which makes it precarious. Once a starter fouled out Harvard locked up the win. If either Morgan or Gettings misses the game I'd take Dartmouth over Cornell.
If Mason comes back healthy soon, Yale is a big factor. If not, Yale and Columbia will be chasing Brown for the 4th spot. Of course, Harvard is only another injury away from joining that group.
Strange year. Everyone is vulnerable.
|
PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts: 3580
Reg: 02-15-15
|
02-04-18 05:41 PM - Post#246101
In response to HARVARDDADGRAD
With 4 road wins Harvard is in the drivers seat for the 1 seed. That's really hard to do.
Brown is the only other team with an Ivy road win.
Penn/Columbia have held serve at home and Princeton has some ground to make up with a home loss.
The winner of the IL regular season typically holds serve at home and wins 3-5 road games. Harvard at +4 is way ahead.
|
penn nation
Professor
Posts: 21086
Reg: 12-02-04
|
02-04-18 05:48 PM - Post#246103
In response to PennFan10
H currently has a slight edge over Penn here, IMHO.
The Ps have yet to play any road games at all, except against each other. So that stat needs to be placed in proper context. I suspect both Ps will have close to 4 road wins, if not more, by season's end.
Plus, H has yet to play the Ps at all and it is not at full strength.
|
mrjames
Professor
Posts: 6062
Loc: Montclair, NJ
Reg: 11-21-04
|
02-04-18 09:33 PM - Post#246131
In response to penn nation
I don’t know... without Aiken at 100%, the PG play isn’t just too inconsistent to make them a favorite for anything. At the same time, no Ivy contender is perfect, but not having a PG that can get it across half court without turning it over might the biggest problem any of the contenders have.
I’d put Penn and Princeton ahead of Harvard until it proves it can get Aiken back on the floor healthy. Happy to revisit that if it does, but that offense is a lot of Towns hero ball and has been buoyed by strong 3-point shooting recently. Don’t see that being consistent the rest of the way.
|
PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts: 3580
Reg: 02-15-15
|
02-05-18 12:27 AM - Post#246156
In response to mrjames
Strong 3pt shooting that began as soon as I posted about them being a bad 3pt team and has continued every game since. I am waiting until Saturday for my next statement about Harvard's 3pt shooting.....
|
Streamers
Professor
Posts: 8141
Loc: NW Philadelphia
Reg: 11-21-04
|
02-05-18 10:04 AM - Post#246175
In response to HARVARDDADGRAD
We will know a lot more by this time next week.
|
mrjames
Professor
Posts: 6062
Loc: Montclair, NJ
Reg: 11-21-04
|
02-05-18 11:40 AM - Post#246197
In response to PennFan10
Yeah - they're not *that* good from three such that they'll go 27-for-60 from three on the average weekend either. Somewhere in between. Harvard has some elite three-point shooters, and it would have been SHOCKING if they were sub-30 for the season. I suspect they'll still post some real stinkers from deep the rest of the way, but they should be capable of finishing the Ivy campaign in the 35-40% range.
|
PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts: 3580
Reg: 02-15-15
|
02-05-18 11:45 AM - Post#246200
In response to mrjames
I am just glad they didn't "mean revert" against my team, though that's still pending, thus my next comments on this will be that day in hopes of stemming the curse I started......
|
mrjames
Professor
Posts: 6062
Loc: Montclair, NJ
Reg: 11-21-04
|
02-05-18 11:49 AM - Post#246203
In response to PennFan10
Ha - I think Penn will be just fine regardless. StevieD gets it and even if Harvard goes off for 40-50%, it'll be on sub-20 attempts, so the damage will be limited. I'd be stunned if he lets Harvard play the lottery a bunch of times from behind the arc.
|
Tiger69
Postdoc
Posts: 2801
Reg: 11-23-04
|
02-05-18 01:25 PM - Post#246215
In response to HARVARDDADGRAD
A lot depends on how the Tigers react to Brown loss. If they lose to h or the quackers, real title chances are probably lost. If they bounce back and sweep the next three, it's a new ball game. I don't want to speculate on the genius tourney. Fun for the winner, but no reason to boast. Unless it is the regular Champ.
|
PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts: 3580
Reg: 02-15-15
|
02-05-18 01:26 PM - Post#246217
In response to Tiger69
If Penn gets the 1 seed, all moaning should be gone as the top seed hosts right?
|
mrjames
Professor
Posts: 6062
Loc: Montclair, NJ
Reg: 11-21-04
|
02-05-18 02:32 PM - Post#246231
In response to PennFan10
For this year, definitely.
|