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Username Post: Around the NCAA 2018-19        (Topic#22115)
Bison89 
Professor
Posts: 5370
Bison89
Loc: Philadelphia
Reg: 11-14-07
12-11-18 11:37 AM - Post#268570    
    In response to jkrun80

  • jkrun80 Said:
  • Bison137 Said:
Ohio State is up to 14th in the coaches' poll and 15th in the AP poll.

Pomeroy has OSU as an 18-point favorite.


That sounds about right. We'll do well to keep the margin under 20. ESPN gives us an 8.8% chance of winning.



Unless the Bison are H-O-T from behind the 3-point line, I would give them a 2.01586% chance.
New season, new team, new dream . . .


 
BisonRoadWarrior 
Professor
Posts: 5203
BisonRoadWarrior
Loc: Where the Bison Roam
Reg: 08-16-06
12-11-18 12:00 PM - Post#268574    
    In response to Bison89

  • Bison89 Said:
  • jkrun80 Said:
  • Bison137 Said:
Ohio State is up to 14th in the coaches' poll and 15th in the AP poll.

Pomeroy has OSU as an 18-point favorite.


That sounds about right. We'll do well to keep the margin under 20. ESPN gives us an 8.8% chance of winning.



Unless the Bison are H-O-T from behind the 3-point line, I would give them a 2.01586% chance.


%$#^ all this fatalistic talk. GO GET 'EM, BISON!


 
Bison137 
Professor
Posts: 16147
Bison137
Reg: 01-23-06
12-11-18 03:35 PM - Post#268599    
    In response to BisonRoadWarrior

Interesting Washington Times article on Nate Jones' dad, Mike Jones, whose Radford team has beaten Notre Dame and Texas this year:

https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/dec/10/d...




 
HuskyColonial 
PhD Student
Posts: 1976

Age: 50
Reg: 02-17-12
12-11-18 10:05 PM - Post#268701    
    In response to Bison137

The Washington Times has a sports section?

 
Bison137 
Professor
Posts: 16147
Bison137
Reg: 01-23-06
12-16-18 01:10 PM - Post#269219    
    In response to HuskyColonial

St. Mary's came back from a big deficit vs a good LSU team last night but ended up losing by four. SM had a big rebounding edge but gave the game away with 19 turnovers.




 
bison63 
Postdoc
Posts: 3857

Reg: 01-23-06
12-16-18 05:16 PM - Post#269228    
    In response to Bison137

Northeastern loses by 5 at Vermont. I’d think by virtue of our win at VT that helps us a bit in Pomeroy etc.

 
Bison137 
Professor
Posts: 16147
Bison137
Reg: 01-23-06
Around the NCAA 2018-19
12-16-18 05:36 PM - Post#269229    
    In response to bison63

The way the Pomeroy model works, I don't think it will any effect, positive or negative. Everything gained by today's Vermont win is exactly offset by today's Northeastern loss, if I understand Pomeroy correctly.




 
res 
Masters Student
Posts: 839

Reg: 03-21-06
12-16-18 06:13 PM - Post#269230    
    In response to Bison137

You are correct.


 
Bison137 
Professor
Posts: 16147
Bison137
Reg: 01-23-06
12-16-18 09:03 PM - Post#269235    
    In response to res

URI beat West Virginia (#35 Pomeroy) 83-71 today.




 
jkrun80 
Postdoc
Posts: 3305

Age: 65
Reg: 05-07-12
12-16-18 09:10 PM - Post#269236    
    In response to Bison137

Vermont has won 5 straight since their loss to Bucknell. Their other two losses were @Kansas and @Louisville.

If it's any consolation, both teams shot poorly from the FT line. NE could have made it interesting if they'd made a few more. Vermont was only 3-18 from 3 but scored enough inside to make up for it. Northeastern did not look like the team that played here.

 
Bison137 
Professor
Posts: 16147
Bison137
Reg: 01-23-06
12-16-18 10:51 PM - Post#269238    
    In response to jkrun80

Pomeroy's model predicted Vermont, the home team, to win 73-70. Final was 75-70. Not bad.




 
BisonRoadWarrior 
Professor
Posts: 5203
BisonRoadWarrior
Loc: Where the Bison Roam
Reg: 08-16-06
12-17-18 01:51 AM - Post#269245    
    In response to Bison137

Very interesting article on the challenges of mid-major scheduling
https://amp.heraldonline.com/sports/college/big-so ...


 
Bucknellbisonfan21 
Masters Student
Posts: 548
Bucknellbisonfan21
Loc: Bloomsburg
Reg: 11-12-15
12-18-18 08:46 PM - Post#269415    
    In response to jkrun80

Ohio State is down 25-22 at the half at home vs Youngstown State.

 
res 
Masters Student
Posts: 839

Reg: 03-21-06
12-18-18 09:02 PM - Post#269425    
    In response to Bucknellbisonfan21

YSU jumped out to a 14-2 lead. I will be very surprised if the Buckeyes don't win this by double digits.


 
jkrun80 
Postdoc
Posts: 3305

Age: 65
Reg: 05-07-12
Around the NCAA 2018-19
12-18-18 09:42 PM - Post#269428    
    In response to res

Vermont is struggling at home vs. St. Bona. Bona made their 1st six FG while UVM missed their 1st nine 3 pt FG. Anthony Lamb has 25 of UVM's 33 pts early in the 2nd half. Ernie Duncan is out with an injury and nobody else seems capable of scoring.

Edited by jkrun80 on 12-18-18 09:47 PM. Reason for edit: No reason given.

 
jkrun80 
Postdoc
Posts: 3305

Age: 65
Reg: 05-07-12
Re: Around the NCAA 2018-19
12-18-18 09:48 PM - Post#269429    
    In response to jkrun80

  • jkrun80 Said:
Vermont is struggling at home vs. St. Bona. Bona made their 1st six FG while UVM missed their 1st nine 3 pt FG. Anthony Lamb has 25 of UVM's 33 pts early in the 2nd half. Ernie Duncan is out with an injury and nobody else seems capable of scoring.


Just after I typed that Stef Smith scores 12 straight points to give UVM a 49-48 lead.

 
Bison137 
Professor
Posts: 16147
Bison137
Reg: 01-23-06
Around the NCAA 2018-19
12-18-18 10:18 PM - Post#269431    
    In response to res

  • res Said:
YSU jumped out to a 14-2 lead. I will be very surprised if the Buckeyes don't win this by double digits.




Not the most daring prediction, but very accurate. OSU ends up with a 75-56 win.

Vermont and Bona in OT.

Edit: Vermont wins in two OT's. UVM missing Ernie and Everett Duncan, plus center Ryan Davis. Bona missing two important players, including Griffin, who was injured near the end of their game with the Bison.




 
jkrun80 
Postdoc
Posts: 3305

Age: 65
Reg: 05-07-12
12-18-18 10:48 PM - Post#269433    
    In response to Bison137

Vermont pulled away in the 2nd OT 83-76. Lamb finished with 42!

 
Bison137 
Professor
Posts: 16147
Bison137
Reg: 01-23-06
12-18-18 10:58 PM - Post#269435    
    In response to jkrun80

  • jkrun80 Said:
Vermont pulled away in the 2nd OT 83-76. Lamb finished with 42!




Lamb had 42 tonight. Also has scored 24 vs Kansas, 25 vs Louisville, 34 vs Yale, and 37 vs Harvard. In fact, he really has had only one poor offensive game all year, when he went 2-14 against some team from Central PA.




 
jkrun80 
Postdoc
Posts: 3305

Age: 65
Reg: 05-07-12
12-21-18 08:08 PM - Post#269699    
    In response to Bison137

Bucknell, St. Bonaventure, Northeastern, and Vermont have all played each other this year. Interestingly, the A-10 team was 0-3 while the other three were 2-1. In Bonaventure's defense, two losses were in OT and 2OT. Their leading scorer also missed the Bucknell game.

 
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