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Username Post: Princeton at Penn        (Topic#22456)
Cvonvorys 
Postdoc
Posts: 4438
Cvonvorys
Loc: Princeton, New Jersey
Reg: 10-11-06
01-12-19 01:07 AM - Post#272154    

The line I see is Penn minus 7. I think this game will be a good indicator (and the result, a good indication) of how well Pennsylvania will finish the year... Penn wins convincingly, and we all should once again feel encouraged... Penn wins in a close game (or worse), we should all hope Pennsylvania gets a 4 seed.

 
Streamers 
Professor
Posts: 8141
Streamers
Loc: NW Philadelphia
Reg: 11-21-04
01-12-19 09:26 AM - Post#272165    
    In response to Cvonvorys

I was a bit surprised by the line. I thought it would be five. The logic is simple. They took the OT result, applied the 6 point home swing, and added 1 for Wang/Max health. Both coaches have pointed out that they want this game to play out differently from last week. The adjustments/execution will play a huge role since the talent is comparable. I’d feel better if Tyler were available to harass Stephens, but I think Devon finds his shooting eye, AJ has another big game, Wang shakes off the rust, and the offense produces a lit more assists than turnovers. We just need to hope Richmomd does not learn how to play defense anytime soon. The x-factor will be the crowd. The Cathedral will be amped for this with the 79 team in the house. I’m confident Penn wins, but 7 is a lot to lay. I do like the over at 137 though. Both teams will shoot better than last week.

 
Mike Porter 
Postdoc
Posts: 3615
Mike Porter
Loc: Los Angeles, CA
Reg: 11-21-04
01-12-19 12:00 PM - Post#272175    
    In response to Streamers

The spread these days often looks surprisingly similar to Kenpom and that also is 7 points, so I’m guessing that’s related. Agree it’s a lot for a battle between rivals and expect a tough game. Hoping the heroes (aka the Quakers) can find their mojo and confidence again.

 
rbg 
Postdoc
Posts: 3044

Reg: 10-20-14
01-12-19 12:10 PM - Post#272177    
    In response to Mike Porter

Looking at the DP article on today's game, it seems that everything is close to 100% for Michael. Max will be ready, as well, but the article does not give me the same sense of optimism as it does for Wang.

https://www.thedp.com/article/2019/01/penn- mens-ba...

- Additionally, Penn will be healthier than it was a week ago, as coach Steve Donahue clarified that there will be no limitations in terms of injuries this Saturday. That, of course, means that freshman forward Michael Wang will be closer to full strength than in the team's previous three games, in which he dealt with an ankle injury.

“I think [Michael will be 100 percent]. Yeah, he’s had a great week,” Donahue said. “Last week, he barely could practice; we tried to hold him out. This week, he has practiced every day, and I don’t see any limp or anything.”

Senior forward Max Rothschild will also benefit from having a week of rest, as the big man has been nursing a back injury throughout the season. A healthier frontcourt and raucous home crowd could be the key to getting the Quakers in the win column in Ivy play. -

The free throws, as always, will be a 63-35 proposition.

- One improvement that Penn hopes to make this weekend is its shooting from both the free throw and three-point lines. Last Saturday, the team shot 5-for-20 from the arc and missed five of eight attempts from the charity stripe in overtime.

“We spend a lot of time [in practice] taking it seriously, knocking down free throws,” senior guard Antonio Woods said. “It’s just [about] making the transition to the game as well. So that’s been a big focus this week.”

Just as in last weekend’s matchup, foul shots could again be a big factor in determining who comes out of the rivalry game on top. -

Hopefully, Dev, Bryce and Michael get their threes in order (and Jackson can get his big bucket off the bench), so the free throws don't decide this thing.

 
Mike Porter 
Postdoc
Posts: 3615
Mike Porter
Loc: Los Angeles, CA
Reg: 11-21-04
01-12-19 02:01 PM - Post#272189    
    In response to rbg

Expecting a battle, and for Quakers to overcome think we need to shoot much better, play less one on one, get good minutes from Wang, and continue to defend Princeton guards well.

Important game and hoping the Quakers can come out on top with the 79 team on hand.


 
rbg 
Postdoc
Posts: 3044

Reg: 10-20-14
01-12-19 02:56 PM - Post#272197    
    In response to Mike Porter

According to Live Stats, the starting lineups have changed from last week:

Penn - Woods, Goodman, Washington, Wang and Brodeur

Princeton - Llewellyn, Cannady, Stephens, Desrosiers and Aririguzoh

 
rbg 
Postdoc
Posts: 3044

Reg: 10-20-14
01-12-19 03:11 PM - Post#272206    
    In response to rbg

Penn 4 Princeton 4 16:00 minutes left

Penn:
Shooting 2-7 (0-2 from 3)
Rebounds: 5 (2 offensive, 3 defensive)
TO: 2

Brodeur: 2 points (1-2 from 2, 0-2 from 3), 1 foul, 3 rebounds

Princeton:
Shooting: 1-5 (0-1 from 3)
Rebounds: 4 (1 offensive, 3 defensive)
TO: 3

RA: 4 points

 
Penndemonium 
PhD Student
Posts: 1878

Reg: 11-29-04
01-12-19 03:19 PM - Post#272208    
    In response to rbg

JD just took the top of 3 I like to see him shoot. Swish. Surprised to see him in there right now. Ball is moving but more dribbles than I expected.

 
rbg 
Postdoc
Posts: 3044

Reg: 10-20-14
01-12-19 03:19 PM - Post#272209    
    In response to rbg

Penn 11 Princeton 9 11:03

Penn
Shooting 5-16 (1-5 from 3)
Rebounds: 10 (3 offensive, 7 defensive)
TO: 2
Fouls: 3

Princeton
Shooting: 2-12 (1-6 from 3), 4-4 FT
Rebounds: 11 (3 offensive, 8 defensive)
TO: 5
Fouls: 3

 
Chip Bayers 
Professor
Posts: 6997
Chip Bayers
Loc: New York
Reg: 11-21-04
01-12-19 03:23 PM - Post#272210    
    In response to rbg

12-0 Penn run, as Princeton has missed its last 10 shots, including one possession with multiple offensive rebounds they couldn’t convert.


 
Chip Bayers 
Professor
Posts: 6997
Chip Bayers
Loc: New York
Reg: 11-21-04
01-12-19 03:26 PM - Post#272211    
    In response to Chip Bayers

Again with the missed layups after a guy gets to the rim.

Now Woods has his second foul.


 
rbg 
Postdoc
Posts: 3044

Reg: 10-20-14
01-12-19 03:28 PM - Post#272212    
    In response to Chip Bayers

Penn 18 Princeton 10 7:43

Penn
Shooting: 8-21 (2-6) 0-0 FT
Reb: 14 (3 offensive, 11 defensive)
TO: 2
Fouls: 5 (Woods with 3?)

Princeton:
Shooting: 2-18 (1-6 from 3), 5-6 FT
Reb: 16 (6 offensive, 10 defensive)
TO: 7
Fouls: 3

 
Chip Bayers 
Professor
Posts: 6997
Chip Bayers
Loc: New York
Reg: 11-21-04
01-12-19 03:28 PM - Post#272213    
    In response to Chip Bayers

... and another blown layup.


 
Chip Bayers 
Professor
Posts: 6997
Chip Bayers
Loc: New York
Reg: 11-21-04
01-12-19 03:29 PM - Post#272214    
    In response to Chip Bayers

Nice post move from Brodeur to put Penn up double digits.


 
Chip Bayers 
Professor
Posts: 6997
Chip Bayers
Loc: New York
Reg: 11-21-04
01-12-19 03:29 PM - Post#272216    
    In response to Chip Bayers

Now Wang blows a layup.


 
Chip Bayers 
Professor
Posts: 6997
Chip Bayers
Loc: New York
Reg: 11-21-04
01-12-19 03:30 PM - Post#272217    
    In response to Chip Bayers

Stephens does the right thing and drives Silpe hard to the hole.


 
rbg 
Postdoc
Posts: 3044

Reg: 10-20-14
01-12-19 03:32 PM - Post#272219    
    In response to Chip Bayers

AJ at the line for 2. C'mon AJ

 
Chip Bayers 
Professor
Posts: 6997
Chip Bayers
Loc: New York
Reg: 11-21-04
01-12-19 03:32 PM - Post#272220    
    In response to Chip Bayers

Layup missed ... again ... but Brodeur with the double putback gets the foul.


 
rbg 
Postdoc
Posts: 3044

Reg: 10-20-14
01-12-19 03:33 PM - Post#272221    
    In response to rbg

1 for 2. That's about right, I guess.

 
Chip Bayers 
Professor
Posts: 6997
Chip Bayers
Loc: New York
Reg: 11-21-04
01-12-19 03:34 PM - Post#272222    
    In response to Chip Bayers

Princeton’s entire offense is missing but getting the offensive rebound again and again until something good happens.


 
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