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Username Post: Update From The Cloud        (Topic#22669)
Eric Von Zipper 
Posts: 159

Age: 66
Reg: 11-11-17
02-17-19 10:10 AM - Post#276963    

Princeton Basketball
Predictions Update
Feb 17, 2019

After beating Dartmouth 69-68 yesterday, Princeton is now projected to finish the regular season 16-11 (8-6 Ivy).

The odds that the Tigers make the NCAA tournament are 7%, unchanged since yesterday.

We currently rank Princeton as the #171 team in the country, and the #5 team in the Ivy.

Next game: Fri, Feb 22 vs. #228 Cornell. Our power ratings give the Tigers a 76% chance to win.

Eric Von Zipper 
Posts: 159

Age: 66
Reg: 11-11-17
02-17-19 10:11 AM - Post#276964    
    In response to Eric Von Zipper

I think they are going to need 9 Ivy wins to make the tournament.

PhD Student
Posts: 1174

Age: 70
Reg: 01-15-16
02-17-19 11:44 AM - Post#276976    
    In response to Eric Von Zipper

If Tigers go 8-6, they have tie breaker against Quakerites -- I believe and against Cornell but probably only if they beat Cornell Friday night. Perhaps, I misunderstand IvyMadness tie breaker rules.

PhD Student
Posts: 1248

Reg: 11-21-04
02-17-19 12:32 PM - Post#276982    
    In response to bradley

I’d be happy if Princeton gets to 8-6 at this point. If Tigers get to 8 wins, the only way they don’t make it to the four is if Penn goes 6-0 the rest of the way to get to 9-5 or Brown goes 5-1 (including a win over Princeton) to get to 8-6 or Brown loses to Princeton but goes 5-0 in other games and wins the tie-break against the Tigers.

Posts: 139

Loc: Philadelphia
Reg: 11-21-04
02-17-19 01:43 PM - Post#276990    
    In response to Eric Von Zipper

The last time the fifth place Ivy men's team won 8 games was 87-88 when Yale and Penn tied for 4th and 5th at 8-6. It's not a guarantee a team will get into the IL tournament with 8 wins but it's very likely they will.

Posts: 5515

Loc: Montclair, NJ
Reg: 11-21-04
02-17-19 04:39 PM - Post#277001    
    In response to Bryan

I have 8 wins ending up 5th just 3% of the time. Less than half as likely as the odds that 6 wins end up being good enough for 4th (7%).

Seven with the right tie breakers, which Princeton is in tremendous position to have with a win on Friday, is probably enough, especially if the top stays formful.

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