10Q
Professor
Posts: 23199
Loc: Suburban Philly
Reg: 11-21-04
|
02-18-19 03:33 PM - Post#277079
We have very little of it. Losing to either of the C's at home is simply not an option. Does anyone disagree that anything less than a sweep next weekend means season over?
|
palestra38
Professor
Posts: 32685
Reg: 11-21-04
|
Re: oom for error 02-18-19 04:20 PM - Post#277085
In response to 10Q
no....although a loss to Columbia and a win over Cornell would still leave us with a route in. But a loss to Cornell and it's all over.
|
penn nation
Professor
Posts: 21086
Reg: 12-02-04
|
Re: oom for error 02-18-19 04:32 PM - Post#277087
In response to 10Q
We have room for 1 non-Cornell loss. Even 2 non-Cornell losses, however, would be pushing our luck.
|
10Q
Professor
Posts: 23199
Loc: Suburban Philly
Reg: 11-21-04
|
Room for error 02-18-19 05:31 PM - Post#277092
In response to penn nation
If we lose at home to Columbia, it's over. Do you seriously think we can lose that game and then beat Yale on the road?
No. It's gotta be a sweep or it's fork in the buns time.
|
13otto
Masters Student
Posts: 779
Loc: Philadelphia, PA
Reg: 11-22-04
|
02-18-19 05:42 PM - Post#277093
In response to penn nation
Cornell should be the underdog in 5 of their remaining 6 games, as Vegas should have them favored to win only at home vs. Dartmouth. Of course, Cornell has been the Vegas favorite in only one of their first 8 Ivy contests (home vs. Columbia), with another being a pick 'em (at home vs. Brown), yet they managed to win 5 of those 8.
Conversely, we should be favored to win at least 4 of our final 6, with the home game vs. Yale being close to a toss up (assuming that we're still in the hunt). Of course, we were favored to win 7 of our first 8 Ivy games and we all know how much that did for us.
A sweep by the P's over the C's at home this weekend puts us right where we need to be (although Cornell still would control the tiebreaker thanks to its win at Harvard). Anything less, including a Cornell win at Princeton, would leave us needing a lot of luck to get in.
Of course, a Yale win at home vs. Harvard this weekend also could help our tiebreaker chances down the road, but only if everything else falls our way.
|
13otto
Masters Student
Posts: 779
Loc: Philadelphia, PA
Reg: 11-22-04
|
Re: oom for error 02-18-19 05:46 PM - Post#277095
In response to 10Q
If we lose at home to Columbia, it's over. Do you seriously think we can lose that game and then beat Yale on the road?
The Yale rematch will be at the Palestra. We're probably going to have to beat them at home before we get that third meeting, in New Haven, with them.
|
Streamers
Professor
Posts: 8141
Loc: NW Philadelphia
Reg: 11-21-04
|
02-18-19 05:51 PM - Post#277098
In response to 13otto
Bottom line: Penn sweeps at home next weekend and is better than even to make the playoff. I feel pretty good about it strangely.
|
10Q
Professor
Posts: 23199
Loc: Suburban Philly
Reg: 11-21-04
|
02-18-19 05:52 PM - Post#277099
In response to 13otto
I was talking about the third meeting actually. I only cut down the net for getting to Dance.
|
Streamers
Professor
Posts: 8141
Loc: NW Philadelphia
Reg: 11-21-04
|
02-18-19 06:05 PM - Post#277105
In response to 10Q
Note Columbia is an 8PM tip on Friday
|
PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts: 3580
Reg: 02-15-15
|
Re: oom for error 02-18-19 08:50 PM - Post#277116
In response to 10Q
If we lose at home to Columbia, it's over. Do you seriously think we can lose that game and then beat Yale on the road?
No. It's gotta be a sweep or it's fork in the buns time.
You say this as if Columbia is bad. They were an Aiken Hail Mary away from winning at Harvard and have lost 8 games by 3pts or less. We could absolutely lose to them and still beat Yale. Or the other way around. Every team has a chance in this league every night.
|
10Q
Professor
Posts: 23199
Loc: Suburban Philly
Reg: 11-21-04
|
Room for error 02-19-19 09:21 AM - Post#277127
In response to PennFan10
Could happen, but very unlikely.
On any given Ivy weekend....
|