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Username Post: ESPN has Penn 54.5% to Win Saturday        (Topic#22867)
10Q 
Professor
Posts: 23193

Loc: Suburban Philly
Reg: 11-21-04
03-14-19 12:17 PM - Post#281281    
    In response to Streamers

And once again we find ourselves in the position of rooting for Princeton.

 
palestra38 
Professor
Posts: 32680

Reg: 11-21-04
03-14-19 12:24 PM - Post#281284    
    In response to 10Q

Let's not get ahead of ourselves here. We'll be happy to play either Yale or Princeton on Sunday.

 
Streamers 
Professor
Posts: 8141
Streamers
Loc: NW Philadelphia
Reg: 11-21-04
03-14-19 12:27 PM - Post#281286    
    In response to palestra38

Q is right though. I'd want them even if they were better.

 
Streamers 
Professor
Posts: 8141
Streamers
Loc: NW Philadelphia
Reg: 11-21-04
03-14-19 12:28 PM - Post#281287    
    In response to Penndemonium

  • Penndemonium Said:
Got it. I didn't realize that KenPom also favored us. It is true that the odds reflects betting, but these days there seems to be a fair amount of statistical betters that should close the gap in betting house odds vs. consensus probabilities of winning.



It is safe to assume the line will move a bit after it is posted.

 
Mike Porter 
Postdoc
Posts: 3614
Mike Porter
Loc: Los Angeles, CA
Reg: 11-21-04
03-14-19 01:47 PM - Post#281297    
    In response to Streamers

Line or not, I see us as the underdog. We lost to them 2X, they were co-champions. I prefer the underdog role for this team anyway, and feel we play that role best.

Of course if we play at peak capability, we can absolutely beat them, but to have a chance we will need to hit a reasonable % of 3's.

We shot 27% and 25% in our two losses. If we shoot less than 30% again, I don't see us winning.

Let's Go Quakers!

 
TheLine 
Professor
Posts: 5597

Age: 60
Reg: 07-07-09
03-14-19 03:22 PM - Post#281309    
    In response to Mike Porter

How can we not be the underdog? The team is banged up. It isn't the same team that took down Nova earlier.

That said, it's still a winnable game.


 
10Q 
Professor
Posts: 23193

Loc: Suburban Philly
Reg: 11-21-04
03-14-19 03:26 PM - Post#281311    
    In response to TheLine

Is anyone other than Wang banged up? We've found some answers with the older players. That's all I can figure.

 
Quakers03 
Professor
Posts: 12480

Reg: 12-07-04
03-14-19 03:34 PM - Post#281316    
    In response to 10Q

Bryce hasn't been the same since he was wrestled to the ground at Harvard.

It really is remarkable to look at from where we got the scoring early in the year vs now. It's all in the seniors hands at this point...I'd love to see a Bryce resurgence and think we could use it, but I'm not getting my hopes up.

 
10Q 
Professor
Posts: 23193

Loc: Suburban Philly
Reg: 11-21-04
03-14-19 03:48 PM - Post#281321    
    In response to Quakers03

I like having seniors at the fore in the post-season.

 
palestra38 
Professor
Posts: 32680

Reg: 11-21-04
03-14-19 03:51 PM - Post#281322    
    In response to Quakers03

There is something to be said for playing guys who are in their last game if they lose. There is a level of desperation in it which I like, especially given the experience factor. These guys have not been making many mistakes since Steve went All-Dunphy in the last 3 games, winning the turnover battle each time. That was something that had been killing us previously. These guys know how to play D also.

The 3 point shooting may be spotty, but with low turnovers and good D, we have a puncher's chance even if we don't shoot well.

 
TheLine 
Professor
Posts: 5597

Age: 60
Reg: 07-07-09
03-14-19 05:11 PM - Post#281338    
    In response to palestra38

Seniors are wonderful and all, but would love to have a healthy Mike and Bryce.

I'd assume Max is in his usual banged up state but will leave nothing in the tank.


 
palestra38 
Professor
Posts: 32680

Reg: 11-21-04
03-14-19 05:41 PM - Post#281356    
    In response to TheLine

Had they continued the out of conference performance in the Ivy season, of course. But they did not and are banged up.

 
13otto 
Masters Student
Posts: 779
13otto
Loc: Philadelphia, PA
Reg: 11-22-04
03-14-19 06:14 PM - Post#281362    
    In response to palestra38

  • palestra38 Said:
There is something to be said for playing guys who are in their last game if they lose. There is a level of desperation in it which I like, especially given the experience factor.


Do you really think this would be the last game for the seniors if they lose? I realize they wouldn't get an NIT bid, but there are a couple other tournaments.
http://www.letsgoquakers.com/


 
13otto 
Masters Student
Posts: 779
13otto
Loc: Philadelphia, PA
Reg: 11-22-04
03-14-19 06:19 PM - Post#281363    
    In response to palestra38

  • palestra38 Said:
Let's not get ahead of ourselves here. We'll be happy to play either Yale or Princeton on Sunday.


Agreed. I'll be happy to play either on Sunday. However, a win over Harvard and I'm rooting for Princeton over Yale in game two.
http://www.letsgoquakers.com/


 
Quakers03 
Professor
Posts: 12480

Reg: 12-07-04
03-16-19 11:11 AM - Post#281610    
    In response to Streamers

Lots of rowdy Harvard fans at my breakfast spot. Would love to see one penn fan. No board activity st all? Let’s go!

 
Streamers 
Professor
Posts: 8141
Streamers
Loc: NW Philadelphia
Reg: 11-21-04
03-16-19 11:46 AM - Post#281615    
    In response to Quakers03

No worries - there will be a game thread with lots of play by play chatter and the occasional insight ;-)

I won't watch with a device in my hand because I'm sure there will be at least one moment where I jump out of my chair which would send the device flying.

Keep up the reports from the pre-game scene though. Want to see those.

 
Quakers03 
Professor
Posts: 12480

Reg: 12-07-04
03-16-19 12:24 PM - Post#281618    
    In response to Streamers

It’s the bad ref again. I can’t believe it....

 
Quakers03 
Professor
Posts: 12480

Reg: 12-07-04
03-16-19 12:38 PM - Post#281620    
    In response to Quakers03

Between Max and our favorite ref we should be up ten. Killer.

 
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