GoBigGreenBasketball
Masters Student
Posts: 806
Age: 52
Reg: 05-19-16
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11-09-19 03:48 PM - Post#290406
Dartmouth Basketball
Predictions Update
Nov 9, 2019
• After beating Buffalo 68-63 yesterday, Dartmouth is now projected to finish the regular season 16-13 (7-7 Ivy).
• The odds that the Big Green make the NCAA tournament are up to 6%, an increase of 2% since yesterday.
• We currently rank Dartmouth as the #162 team in the country, and the #4 team in the Ivy.
• Next game: Mon, Nov 11 vs. #275 Fla Gulf Cst. Our power ratings give the Big Green a 82% chance to win.
"...no excuses - only results!†|
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GoBigGreenBasketball
Masters Student
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Age: 52
Reg: 05-19-16
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Re: Dartmouth versus Florida Gulf Coast 11-11-19 03:07 PM - Post#290616
In response to GoBigGreenBasketball
Nov 11 (Mon) 7:00 PM vs FGCU KP: 213
Projected 5th finish in the A-SUN. They return only 2 starters from last year after finishing 3rd not bad for a first year coach though. They play a lot like Enfield's Dunk City teams. This will be an interesting contrast to the Big Green's Ivy league style.
The Big Green are hosting the Eagles in Hanover today and are expected to be victorious. That's what the Bulls thought on Friday. There are no guarantees in college basketball and there isn't a historical home court advantage for Dartmouth. That said if we come with the same intensity and defense as Friday, then KenPom's projection (74-66 78%) is the likely outcome. I think our recent taste of victory will overcome the Eagles will to win.
If our defense is on par with Friday it should be easy to limit the threat of the Eagles top four guys.
Zach Scott: Creates much of his value at the free throw line. Good three point shooter. Limit catch and shoot chances, and make him beat you off the dribble. Prone to take inefficient mid-range attempts. Struggles to finish around the rim in half court settings, but effective at the free throw line.
Caleb Catto: Creates much of his value at the free throw line. Good three point shooter. Limit catch and shoot chances, and make him beat you off the dribble.
Jalen Warren Scores around the rim in half court settings. Creates much of his value at the free throw line. Prone to take inefficient mid-range attempts. Better scoring at the rim than shooting the jump shot.
Jalen Harper: Limit catch and shoot chances, and make him beat you off the dribble. Prone to take inefficient mid-range attempts. Struggles to finish around the rim in half court settings.
Terrifying three point shooter. Preventing his three point chances should be a top priority.
I expect the Eagles to play a lot like Buffalo did. That being trying to leverage their athleticism and rely less on structured offense. The Big Green did really well by sticking to the game plan which back doored the Bulls routinely and stopped them consistently.
Let the game begin!!!
"...no excuses - only results!†|
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GoBigGreenBasketball
Masters Student
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Age: 52
Reg: 05-19-16
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Re: Dartmouth versus Florida Gulf Coast 11-11-19 03:18 PM - Post#290620
In response to GoBigGreenBasketball
Florida Gulf Coast University
ðŸ“: Leede Arena, Hanover, N.H.
🕖: 7 pm
🖥ï¸: ESPN+ — http://espn.com/watch/espnplus/
📊: http://dartmouthsports.com/sidearmstats/mbball/s ummary
#BigGreenRising #RollPine
Dartmouth vs FGCU Home Opener Preview
"...no excuses - only results!†|
Edited by GoBigGreenBasketball on 11-11-19 03:21 PM. Reason for edit: No reason given.
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Greenhorn
Senior
Posts: 322
Reg: 11-24-04
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Dartmouth 29 FGCU 29 HALF 11-11-19 08:42 PM - Post#290634
In response to GoBigGreenBasketball
So far, not nearly as fun as the Buffalo game.
Foye has knocked down three 3's and leads the scoring with 11.
Knight is getting good looks, but missing from close (he's 3-9). Rai and Samuels both scoreless.
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rbg
Postdoc
Posts: 3066
Reg: 10-20-14
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11-11-19 08:44 PM - Post#290635
In response to GoBigGreenBasketball
Tied at 29 at the half.
Dartmouth
11 players saw action and 7 scored
Foye 11 pts (4-4, 3-3 from 3)
Knight 6 pts (3-9), 4 reb, 2 assist
FG 11-25 (5-11 from 3), 2-3 FT
Rebounds 15 (2 offense, 13 defense)
FGCU
Scott 14 pts (4-7, 4-6 from 3)
FG 11-26 (4-13 from 3), 3-3 FT
Rebounds 15 (2 offense, 13 defense)
Only real difference is Points in Paint: Dartmouth 10-2
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GoBigGreenBasketball
Masters Student
Posts: 806
Age: 52
Reg: 05-19-16
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Re: Dartmouth 29 FGCU 29 HALF 11-11-19 08:45 PM - Post#290636
In response to Greenhorn
Thanks for the updates!!! What do we need to do?
"...no excuses - only results!†|
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Greenhorn
Senior
Posts: 322
Reg: 11-24-04
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11-11-19 08:50 PM - Post#290638
In response to GoBigGreenBasketball
If Knight is 6-9 instead of 3-9 it's a different game. They have to double down and leave a shooter open. Right now they're guarding him straight up and they haven't paid the price yet.
Also, our perimeter defense has been a bit soft. FGCU doesn't have much of an inside game. Would be nice to see us up the intensity and get a couple of steals.
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rbg
Postdoc
Posts: 3066
Reg: 10-20-14
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11-11-19 09:03 PM - Post#290639
In response to Greenhorn
Dartmouth's 12-0 run to start the half is a pretty good plan.
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Greenhorn
Senior
Posts: 322
Reg: 11-24-04
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Dartmouth 41 FGCU 29 16:00 to go 11-11-19 09:03 PM - Post#290640
In response to Greenhorn
Just what the doctor ordered. A 12-0 start to the second half. 6 for Knight and two 3's for Ary-Turner to give him 9.
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Greenhorn
Senior
Posts: 322
Reg: 11-24-04
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Re: Dartmouth 50 FGCU 45 8:00 to go 11-11-19 09:25 PM - Post#290643
In response to Greenhorn
Rai with 7 quick points to keep FGCU at bay, at least temporarily.
Knight still struggling from the field (5-14).
Sistare 0-fer.
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Greenhorn
Senior
Posts: 322
Reg: 11-24-04
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Dartmouth 53 FGCU 47 2:00 to go 11-11-19 09:37 PM - Post#290644
In response to Greenhorn
Rai playing huge with 10 second half points
Not Knight's night. 5 for 17.
This is too close
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Greenhorn
Senior
Posts: 322
Reg: 11-24-04
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Dartmouth 55 FGCU 49 Final 11-11-19 09:47 PM - Post#290645
In response to Greenhorn
Wasn't pretty. But Dartmouth is 2-0 and wins another close one.
Rai gets POTG for 10 second half points.
Samuels, who scored 16 against Buffalo, was discombobulated and scoreless.
Knight missed a bunch of bunnies, but led the team with 13.
The 6'4" Sistare was off, 0-6 from the field, but top rebounder for the second game in a row.
Positive contributions from Paul Hudson and Ian Clark off the bench.
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Greenhorn
Senior
Posts: 322
Reg: 11-24-04
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11-11-19 10:01 PM - Post#290647
In response to Greenhorn
2-0 for the first time this century! Yikes.
Last time was 1996-97 (Sea Lonergan's senior year). They finished 18-8 and second in the league.
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rbg
Postdoc
Posts: 3066
Reg: 10-20-14
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11-12-19 10:54 AM - Post#290679
In response to Greenhorn
Recap
https://dartmouthsports.com/news/2019/11/11/mbk-d e...
https://www.news-press.com/story/sports/2019/11/ 11...
Box Score
https://dartmouthsports.com/boxscore.aspx?path=mbb...
KenPom has them at #180, 6 spots lower than they were before last night's game.
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GoBigGreenBasketball
Masters Student
Posts: 806
Age: 52
Reg: 05-19-16
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11-12-19 06:53 PM - Post#290727
In response to rbg
Thanks
"...no excuses - only results!†|
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Old Bear
Postdoc
Posts: 4005
Reg: 11-23-04
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11-12-19 08:12 PM - Post#290734
In response to GoBigGreenBasketball
Brown 2-0
Dartmouth 2-0
5 others 1-1
Princeton 0-2
I declare the season over. Let the playoffs begin.
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GoBigGreenBasketball
Masters Student
Posts: 806
Age: 52
Reg: 05-19-16
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11-12-19 08:26 PM - Post#290735
In response to Old Bear
Hath Hell Frozeth Over? LOL
"...no excuses - only results!†|
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