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Username Post: Rosters and Class Designations        (Topic#25458)
SomeGuy 
Professor
Posts: 5556

Reg: 11-22-04
09-10-21 03:13 PM - Post#326598    

Seven of the eight schools have put out rosters (Princeton, as usual, has not).

Brown, Penn, and Yale appear to have players who left school last year and therefore have moved back a year by class designation.

Brown — Friday
Penn — Dingle, Martz
Yale — Swain, Gabbidon, Alausa, Kelly, cotton, Lanford, Feinberg, Mahoney

Biggest player missing from a roster is Evan Nelson (Harvard). Only other guy who I think has disappeared from a roster is Brown’s Davis Franks.

And of course the returning grad students may be most important. Choh, Barry, and Rai are all back and should be impact players. Bolster for Columbia is back as well.

Curious if I’ve got anything wrong here, or if anyone has noticed anything I’ve missed.

 
HARVARDDADGRAD 
Postdoc
Posts: 2291

Loc: New Jersey
Reg: 01-21-14
09-11-21 08:33 AM - Post#326607    
    In response to SomeGuy

Bart Tovik's 2021-22 projections either doesn't favor the Ivy league or can't process a year off, reduced returning minutes, and the equivalent of two freshman classes:

155 Yale
183 Penn
213 Princeton
219 Harvard
309 Brown
328 Dartmouth
345 Cornell
352 Columbia


 
Ever True 
Freshman
Posts: 77

Age: 25
Reg: 02-02-15
09-11-21 12:25 PM - Post#326609    
    In response to HARVARDDADGRAD

Best to take Torvik with a grain of salt as far as the Ivies are concerned - he doesn't have Choh on the Brown roster and has Patrick Harding on Penn instead of Columbia. I'm sure there are some other absences that I'm not catching either.

 
SomeGuy 
Professor
Posts: 5556

Reg: 11-22-04
09-11-21 12:28 PM - Post#326610    
    In response to HARVARDDADGRAD

Well, this has been my point about these models generally — the league is returning very few minutes compared to anyone else. So I’m not surprised that the numbers are much lower overall.

However, my guess is that he is not picking up Choh, Barry, and Rai in these numbers. Both Brown and Dartmouth look low to me. Based on returning minutes, etc., this seems like a really good opportunity for one or both to sneak into the top 4. At the very least, they should be far ahead of Columbia and Cornell. And I’m curious how Penn gets so high. Matches our hopes/expectations as Penn fans, but doesn’t really fit statistically. If Harvard was better in 2019, returns similar minutes/stats, and brings in more highly touted recruits, why do they drop behind Penn in the model? Not saying it can’t/won’t play out that way — I just don’t really get how he ends up with that projection.

Overall, of course, the question is whether the presumptions about return minutes hold when an entire conference sits out a season. My guess is they will OOC, and things will be rough initially (and national ranks will be low, as suggested in Tovar’s numbers). But once we get to conference play, everyone is on equal footing, and talent will have a better chance of winning out.

 
Old Bear 
Postdoc
Posts: 3818

Reg: 11-23-04
09-11-21 08:12 PM - Post#326614    
    In response to SomeGuy

If Tovik has Brown that high without Choh, I am very happy.

 
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