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Username Post: Luke Benz Odds After Saturday's Games        (Topic#26055)
bradley 
PhD Student
Posts: 1842

Age: 74
Reg: 01-15-16
Re: Luke Benz Odds After Saturday&#039;s Games
02-20-22 07:25 PM - Post#337109    
    In response to iogyhufi

How ironic if Harvard, Cornell, Brown or Dartmouth win IvyMadness. Based on a crazy season post-COVID and the lack of a dominant team, anything is possible at Lavietes.

 
palestra38 
Professor
Posts: 32682

Reg: 11-21-04
Re: Luke Benz Odds After Saturday&#039;s Games
02-20-22 07:30 PM - Post#337110    
    In response to bradley

It's like rain on your wedding day.

 
HARVARDDADGRAD 
Postdoc
Posts: 2685

Loc: New Jersey
Reg: 01-21-14
02-20-22 08:31 PM - Post#337117    
    In response to palestra38

Like 1-10 Columbia having it’s only win at Penn?

Crazy year.

 
Chip Bayers 
Professor
Posts: 6997
Chip Bayers
Loc: New York
Reg: 11-21-04
02-21-22 02:43 AM - Post#337133    
    In response to TigerFan

I’ll be shocked if Princeton doesn’t sweep Harvard, but as noted weirder things have happened in this league.


 
1LotteryPick1969 
Postdoc
Posts: 2260
1LotteryPick1969
Age: 73
Loc: Sandy, Utah
Reg: 11-21-04
Re: Luke Benz Odds After Saturday&#039;s Games
02-21-22 07:35 AM - Post#337134    
    In response to palestra38

  • palestra38 Said:
It's like rain on your wedding day.

Nice one!


 
palestra38 
Professor
Posts: 32682

Reg: 11-21-04
Re: Luke Benz Odds After Saturday&#039;s Games
02-21-22 10:25 AM - Post#337140    
    In response to 1LotteryPick1969

The ever-helpful Luke Benz laying out the possibilities for Harvard:

https://twitter.com/recspecs730/status/14 954364596...

 
palestra38 
Professor
Posts: 32682

Reg: 11-21-04
Re: Luke Benz Odds After Saturday&#039;s Games
02-23-22 01:41 PM - Post#337379    
    In response to palestra38

Updated after Yale beat Dartmouth. For Penn, it all comes down to the Yale-Cornell game. For Harvard, it requires winning out unless Cornell loses at Columbia that last Saturday.

https://twitter.com/recspecs730/status/14 962929649...

 
digamma 
Masters Student
Posts: 466

Loc: Minneapolis
Reg: 11-27-11
02-23-22 02:34 PM - Post#337388    
    In response to palestra38

I don't think so. If Yale beats Cornell, then Harvard needs 2 of 3.

 
palestra38 
Professor
Posts: 32682

Reg: 11-21-04
Luke Benz Odds After Saturday's Games
02-23-22 02:39 PM - Post#337389    
    In response to digamma

Remember, that they'll only have 2 left when Yale plays at Cornell...and they lose 3 way ties.

 
digamma 
Masters Student
Posts: 466

Loc: Minneapolis
Reg: 11-27-11
02-23-22 02:40 PM - Post#337392    
    In response to palestra38

So, at that point, we may just need 1 out of 2

 
iogyhufi 
Masters Student
Posts: 679

Age: 27
Reg: 10-10-17
02-23-22 02:44 PM - Post#337395    
    In response to digamma

From your lips to God's ears

In any case, Luke was saying in that thread that now there can't be a three-way tie where Harvard wins based on tiebreaker 1 (head-to-head record against the group). They could still make it through in such a tie on tiebreaker 2 (record against top teams), but so much is still up in the air with that that he didn't bother to explain fully.

 
Naismith 
Sophomore
Posts: 148

Loc: RI
Reg: 11-11-18
02-23-22 07:50 PM - Post#337424    
    In response to digamma

Harvard mandatory split with Princeton and getting by Dartmouth at home takes #4 if Yale beats Cornell.

lord, even talking about being in a bogus league tournament to gain a miracle #16 NCAA seed is sickening.

And fact is, it appears here to stay.

 
palestra38 
Professor
Posts: 32682

Reg: 11-21-04
02-23-22 08:47 PM - Post#337433    
    In response to Naismith

17.5% chance according to Luke

 
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