mobrien
Senior
Posts: 359
Loc: New York
Reg: 04-18-17
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02-18-23 06:14 PM - Post#351926
Not completely dead yet, when it comes to the Ivy tourney. Just mostly dead.
In any case, going small to start the night: Pigge gets the nod over Ajogbor. Pigge has made a couple of nice drives so far, and the offense has been okay, although we've had a couple of bad turnovers. Got to do a better job staying home on their shooters though; a couple of minutes of good defense can get undone in a couple of seconds if we give them good looks from three.
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mobrien
Senior
Posts: 359
Loc: New York
Reg: 04-18-17
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02-18-23 07:02 PM - Post#351943
In response to mobrien
Ledlum played basically a perfect half. Incredibly efficient on offense, no dumb shots, grabbed some tough rebounds, and even had a bunch of steals. We should be up by more than six. Three point shooting, specifically our lack of it, is keeping Cornell in the game.
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mobrien
Senior
Posts: 359
Loc: New York
Reg: 04-18-17
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02-18-23 07:20 PM - Post#351951
In response to mobrien
Enormous answer from Ledlum after Cornell had cut it to two. Splashed a three, and got to the basket a couple of times, not to mention another steal, to push it back up to double figures. He's playing a flawless game.
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CrimsonBlood
Freshman
Posts: 21
Age: 33
Reg: 03-15-18
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02-18-23 09:46 PM - Post#352025
In response to mobrien
If we win the remaining two games, do we still have a chance to get in the Ivy tourney? Can someone more well versed in the tie breaking scenarios opine on what needs to happen for Harvard to sneak in?
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penn nation
Professor
Posts: 20349
Reg: 12-02-04
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02-18-23 10:20 PM - Post#352036
In response to CrimsonBlood
If we win the remaining two games, do we still have a chance to get in the Ivy tourney? Can someone more well versed in the tie breaking scenarios opine on what needs to happen for Harvard to sneak in?
Yes, roughly a 21% chance or so based on the Luke Benz post:
https://twitter.com/recspecs730/status/16 269709090...
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iogyhufi
Masters Student
Posts: 514
Age: 27
Reg: 10-10-17
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02-18-23 10:53 PM - Post#352042
In response to penn nation
The most likely scenario where Harvard ends up in a 7-7 tie has both Brown and Cornell beating Columbia but losing to Yale. If that happens, Harvard would be 3-1 head-to-head against the group of tied teams and would advance.
(If this happened, it'd be like Yale returning a favor - Harvard beat Princeton in 2015-16 to help Yale win the 14GT outright.)
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mobrien
Senior
Posts: 359
Loc: New York
Reg: 04-18-17
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02-19-23 12:28 PM - Post#352118
In response to iogyhufi
The simplest way to put it is that we need to win out and need Yale to win out. Then we’re in. There are other ways we could get in (like Columbia winning one, or both, if its games), but those are much less likely.
We need the Ledlum and Tretout who dominated against Cornell to show up against Princeton and Dartmouth. When they play smart, we are tough; when they don’t, we aren’t.
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