cc66
Postdoc
Posts: 2204
Reg: 10-09-09
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02-11-24 06:34 PM - Post#363135
The men have 7 games remaining, 5 at home and 2 on the road. Per KP, the likelihood of winning the home games is, in descending order:
Dartmouth 2/16 88%
Brown 2/23 72%
Harvard 2/17 64%
Cornell 3/9 36%
Yale 2/24 33%
The Harvard projection may be understated, because the game is a back-to-back following Harvard's trip to Cornell
There are two away games:
Penn 3/2 39%
Princeton 3/1 12%
In short, Dartmouth/Brown/Harvard should be winnable; that gets us to 6.
The next most likely is Penn away at 39%. A stretch, but hardly impossible.
Most critically, we have to defeat Harvard this weekend.
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