mobrien
Masters Student
Posts: 463
Loc: New York
Reg: 04-18-17
|
11-30-24 04:15 PM - Post#374929
Kenpom says we have a 1% chance of winning this game, and, honestly, that sounds high. This figures to be a case of an irresistible force meeting a moveable object. In particular, they have a bunch of guys who are great at crashing the offensive glass, and, without Luca, we simply don't have the size to compete there. Every defensive rebound we get will be a minor miracle.
Our lack of size also means we probably won't be able to finish in the paint on the other end. I'm expecting a steady diet of contested mid-range jumpers from Hinton, and threes from everybody else. If we don't make a good percentage of them, we'll lose by 40 instead of 20.
Barbour could be an important player for us today. He always seems to grab a surprising number of rebounds when he's on the court, and the numbers bear that out; his 17% defensive rebound rate is very solid for a guard. We're also going to need him to knock down a couple of threes if we're going to keep this from being an epic embarrassment.
|
HARVARDDADGRAD
Postdoc
Posts: 2785
Loc: New Jersey
Reg: 01-21-14
|
12-01-24 12:06 AM - Post#374962
In response to mobrien
Big effort. Pigge and Batties are very competitive with Nelson and Hinton contributing nicely. Things looked really grim as St. John’s bullied its way to a 9-0 lead.
I had thought Penn and Harvard might battle for 6th/7th this season, maybe catching Brown. However, Dartmouth’s ability to knock off BC on the road suggests the Big Green might not be a lock for the basement.
|
mobrien
Masters Student
Posts: 463
Loc: New York
Reg: 04-18-17
|
12-01-24 10:56 AM - Post#374964
In response to HARVARDDADGRAD
St.John’s gave us the bad shooting performance we needed to have a chance last night. We just couldn’t take advantage. Lesmond, Nelson, Hinton, and Batties shot a combined 3 of 18 on threes, almost all of them good looks too. This wasn’t a case of St. John’s forcing us into tough shots; we had our chances. It was too bad Barbour twisted his ankle because he was just about the only guy knocking down shots for us in the first half. He’s a solid contributor.
Still, we competed hard, held our own much more than I would have guessed on the boards. Just need to get everybody healthy…
|
palestra38
Professor
Posts: 34966
Reg: 11-21-04
|
12-01-24 11:06 AM - Post#374966
In response to mobrien
On the day Lou Carnesecca passed away, playing at the Carnesecca Arena (which I knew as a kid as Alumni Hall) was appropriate. Harvard stood in there against a very athletic team, which bodes well for them in the competition for 4th place.
|
